Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places Dallas highs for June 24 near 95–97 °F under a building ridge with southerly flow and limited cloud cover, aligning with the tightly matched 92–95 °F market bins. Model spread in afternoon convective timing and boundary-layer mixing introduces the main uncertainty between these outcomes, while climatological June maxima near 93 °F and ongoing above-average soil moisture provide modest cooling potential. Traders appear to weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against historical verification biases at KDFW, keeping lower and higher bins at single-digit implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on June 24?
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$51,244 Vol.
$51,244 Vol.
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$51,244 Vol.
$51,244 Vol.
87°F or below
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 22, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance places Dallas highs for June 24 near 95–97 °F under a building ridge with southerly flow and limited cloud cover, aligning with the tightly matched 92–95 °F market bins. Model spread in afternoon convective timing and boundary-layer mixing introduces the main uncertainty between these outcomes, while climatological June maxima near 93 °F and ongoing above-average soil moisture provide modest cooling potential. Traders appear to weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against historical verification biases at KDFW, keeping lower and higher bins at single-digit implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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