Recent National Weather Service and NOAA short-range guidance points to a peak temperature in the mid-to-upper 90s for Dallas on June 28, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, moist air under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. This aligns with late-June climatology, where mean highs reach 93–98°F amid strengthening seasonal heating and typical dew points in the 70s that moderate extreme spikes. Trader consensus favoring 96–99°F outcomes reflects tight model agreement on steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 100°F+ or sub-95°F account for remaining uncertainty in exact cloud cover, wind shifts, or localized heating. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast discussion will refine resolution criteria ahead of daily observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on June 28?
Highest temperature in Dallas on June 28?
96-97°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$156,692 Vol.
$156,692 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
91°F or below
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
Yes
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110°F or higher
No
96-97°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$156,692 Vol.
$156,692 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
91°F or below
$11,879 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$38,222 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$41,491 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$17,968 Vol.
Yes
98-99°F
$21,246 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$6,763 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$4,830 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$4,976 Vol.
No
106-107°F
$5,954 Vol.
No
108-109°F
$1,316 Vol.
No
110°F or higher
$2,047 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA short-range guidance points to a peak temperature in the mid-to-upper 90s for Dallas on June 28, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, moist air under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. This aligns with late-June climatology, where mean highs reach 93–98°F amid strengthening seasonal heating and typical dew points in the 70s that moderate extreme spikes. Trader consensus favoring 96–99°F outcomes reflects tight model agreement on steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 100°F+ or sub-95°F account for remaining uncertainty in exact cloud cover, wind shifts, or localized heating. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast discussion will refine resolution criteria ahead of daily observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$156,692End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA short-range guidance points to a peak temperature in the mid-to-upper 90s for Dallas on June 28, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, moist air under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. This aligns with late-June climatology, where mean highs reach 93–98°F amid strengthening seasonal heating and typical dew points in the 70s that moderate extreme spikes. Trader consensus favoring 96–99°F outcomes reflects tight model agreement on steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 100°F+ or sub-95°F account for remaining uncertainty in exact cloud cover, wind shifts, or localized heating. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast discussion will refine resolution criteria ahead of daily observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$156,692End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent National Weather Service and NOAA short-range guidance points to a peak temperature in the mid-to-upper 90s for Dallas on June 28, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, moist air under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. This aligns with late-June climatology, where mean highs reach 93–98°F amid strengthening seasonal heating and typical dew points in the 70s that moderate extreme spikes. Trader consensus favoring 96–99°F outcomes reflects tight model agreement on steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing, while lower probabilities for 100°F+ or sub-95°F account for remaining uncertainty in exact cloud cover, wind shifts, or localized heating. Updated model runs and the official NWS forecast discussion will refine resolution criteria ahead of daily observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions