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icon for Highest temperature in Dallas on May 6?

Highest temperature in Dallas on May 6?

icon for Highest temperature in Dallas on May 6?

Highest temperature in Dallas on May 6?

Ended: May 6

Jul 22

Jul 23

Ended: May 6

Jul 22

Jul 23

75°F or below 100.0%

76-77°F <1%

78-79°F <1%

80-81°F <1%

Polymarket

$99,717 Vol.

75°F or below 100.0%

76-77°F <1%

78-79°F <1%

80-81°F <1%

Polymarket

$99,717 Vol.

75°F or below

$29,885 Vol.

Yes

76-77°F

$11,621 Vol.

No

78-79°F

$10,267 Vol.

No

80-81°F

$10,371 Vol.

No

82-83°F

$6,904 Vol.

No

84-85°F

$5,667 Vol.

No

86-87°F

$5,457 Vol.

No

88-89°F

$3,618 Vol.

No

90-91°F

$5,175 Vol.

No

92-93°F

$4,358 Vol.

No

94°F or higher

$6,392 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Dallas Love Field (KDAL) station confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 63°F, solidly within the 75°F or below range that now commands 100% market-implied probability. This positioning reflects verified automated surface observing system (ASOS) data amid a cold frontal passage late May 5, ushering in a cool air mass, persistent overcast skies, and light northerly winds that capped daytime heating well below the early May climatological average of around 82°F. Trader consensus aligns with this skin-in-the-game validation of pre-event National Weather Service forecasts predicting lows in the low 60s. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits, which occur infrequently for routine daily highs.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$99,717
End Date
May 6, 2026
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Dallas Love Field (KDAL) station confirm the highest temperature on May 6, 2026, reached 63°F, solidly within the 75°F or below range that now commands 100% market-implied probability. This positioning reflects verified automated surface observing system (ASOS) data amid a cold frontal passage late May 5, ushering in a cool air mass, persistent overcast skies, and light northerly winds that capped daytime heating well below the early May climatological average of around 82°F. Trader consensus aligns with this skin-in-the-game validation of pre-event National Weather Service forecasts predicting lows in the low 60s. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits, which occur infrequently for routine daily highs.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$99,717
End Date
May 6, 2026
Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Dallas on May 6?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "75°F or below" at 100%, followed by "76-77°F" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Dallas on May 6?" has generated $99.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Dallas on May 6?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Dallas on May 6?" is "75°F or below" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "76-77°F" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Dallas on May 6?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.