Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 68°F or higher in Denver on May 10, driven by the National Weather Service's official observation of 72°F at Denver International Airport (KDEN), the city's primary climate reporting station. This peak occurred amid mostly sunny skies and light east-northeast winds of 5-10 mph, following the dissipation of a major early-May snowstorm that had temporarily suppressed temperatures. Pre-event NOAA forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, accurately projected a daytime high near 70°F under building high-pressure ridging, aligning with May climatological norms averaging 72°F. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as an instrument malfunction prompting data revision in the pending CLI report—are highly improbable given rigorous quality controls.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Denver on May 10?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 10?
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$51,098 Vol.
$51,098 Vol.
10 mai 2026
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
Yes
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$51,098 Vol.
$51,098 Vol.
10 mai 2026
49°F or below
$2,381 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$1,588 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$9,365 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$5,875 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$2,852 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$3,652 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$2,766 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$4,208 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$7,616 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$5,335 Vol.
No
68°F or higher
$5,461 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 68°F or higher in Denver on May 10, driven by the National Weather Service's official observation of 72°F at Denver International Airport (KDEN), the city's primary climate reporting station. This peak occurred amid mostly sunny skies and light east-northeast winds of 5-10 mph, following the dissipation of a major early-May snowstorm that had temporarily suppressed temperatures. Pre-event NOAA forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, accurately projected a daytime high near 70°F under building high-pressure ridging, aligning with May climatological norms averaging 72°F. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as an instrument malfunction prompting data revision in the pending CLI report—are highly improbable given rigorous quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$51,098Date de fin
10 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 68°F or higher in Denver on May 10, driven by the National Weather Service's official observation of 72°F at Denver International Airport (KDEN), the city's primary climate reporting station. This peak occurred amid mostly sunny skies and light east-northeast winds of 5-10 mph, following the dissipation of a major early-May snowstorm that had temporarily suppressed temperatures. Pre-event NOAA forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, accurately projected a daytime high near 70°F under building high-pressure ridging, aligning with May climatological norms averaging 72°F. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as an instrument malfunction prompting data revision in the pending CLI report—are highly improbable given rigorous quality controls.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$51,098Date de fin
10 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a high temperature of 68°F or higher in Denver on May 10, driven by the National Weather Service's official observation of 72°F at Denver International Airport (KDEN), the city's primary climate reporting station. This peak occurred amid mostly sunny skies and light east-northeast winds of 5-10 mph, following the dissipation of a major early-May snowstorm that had temporarily suppressed temperatures. Pre-event NOAA forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, accurately projected a daytime high near 70°F under building high-pressure ridging, aligning with May climatological norms averaging 72°F. Scenarios challenging this positioning—such as an instrument malfunction prompting data revision in the pending CLI report—are highly improbable given rigorous quality controls.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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