**Trader sentiment for Ankara’s July 2 maximum temperature reflects tight clustering around 33–34 °C (combined ~64 % implied probability), driven by short-range forecast consensus under building high pressure and clear skies.** Official guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime heating will peak in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with recent June warming trends (highs reaching 30–31 °C) setting the stage for further rise into early July. Light winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar insolation at Ankara’s ~900 m elevation, favoring the upper end of the range; however, minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or slight model spread in steering flow keep 33 °C and 34 °C nearly even. Higher outcomes (35 °C+) remain possible only if subsidence strengthens more than currently projected, while cooler results would require unexpected moisture or increased cloudiness. With resolution imminent, the narrow distribution captures genuine forecast uncertainty around the precise daily maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Ankara on July 2?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 2?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$189,319 Vol.
$189,319 Vol.
2 juil. 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$189,319 Vol.
$189,319 Vol.
2 juil. 2026
29°C or below
$2,948 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,702 Vol.
No
31°C
$38,116 Vol.
No
32°C
$25,220 Vol.
No
33°C
$61,255 Vol.
No
34°C
$30,944 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$8,882 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,382 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,617 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,951 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$6,301 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Ankara’s July 2 maximum temperature reflects tight clustering around 33–34 °C (combined ~64 % implied probability), driven by short-range forecast consensus under building high pressure and clear skies.** Official guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime heating will peak in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with recent June warming trends (highs reaching 30–31 °C) setting the stage for further rise into early July. Light winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar insolation at Ankara’s ~900 m elevation, favoring the upper end of the range; however, minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or slight model spread in steering flow keep 33 °C and 34 °C nearly even. Higher outcomes (35 °C+) remain possible only if subsidence strengthens more than currently projected, while cooler results would require unexpected moisture or increased cloudiness. With resolution imminent, the narrow distribution captures genuine forecast uncertainty around the precise daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$189,319Date de fin
2 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Ankara’s July 2 maximum temperature reflects tight clustering around 33–34 °C (combined ~64 % implied probability), driven by short-range forecast consensus under building high pressure and clear skies.** Official guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime heating will peak in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with recent June warming trends (highs reaching 30–31 °C) setting the stage for further rise into early July. Light winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar insolation at Ankara’s ~900 m elevation, favoring the upper end of the range; however, minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or slight model spread in steering flow keep 33 °C and 34 °C nearly even. Higher outcomes (35 °C+) remain possible only if subsidence strengthens more than currently projected, while cooler results would require unexpected moisture or increased cloudiness. With resolution imminent, the narrow distribution captures genuine forecast uncertainty around the precise daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$189,319Date de fin
2 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
**Trader sentiment for Ankara’s July 2 maximum temperature reflects tight clustering around 33–34 °C (combined ~64 % implied probability), driven by short-range forecast consensus under building high pressure and clear skies.** Official guidance and ensemble models indicate daytime heating will peak in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, with recent June warming trends (highs reaching 30–31 °C) setting the stage for further rise into early July. Light winds, low humidity, and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar insolation at Ankara’s ~900 m elevation, favoring the upper end of the range; however, minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or slight model spread in steering flow keep 33 °C and 34 °C nearly even. Higher outcomes (35 °C+) remain possible only if subsidence strengthens more than currently projected, while cooler results would require unexpected moisture or increased cloudiness. With resolution imminent, the narrow distribution captures genuine forecast uncertainty around the precise daily maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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