Trader consensus has coalesced around a 35°C peak for Guangzhou on June 7 due to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and observational data aligning on that threshold under typical early-June subtropical conditions. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration highlights warm, humid air masses with limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological highs near 32–34°C but nudged upward by recent model consensus. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this convergence while leaving room for modest downward revisions if heavier rainfall or stronger onshore flow develops. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from standardized stations; any last-hour convective cooling or measurement adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 7?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 7?
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$110,621 Vol.
$110,621 Vol.
Jun 7, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$110,621 Vol.
$110,621 Vol.
Jun 7, 2026
26°C or below
$1,963 Vol.
No
27°C
$215 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,673 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,885 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,428 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,490 Vol.
No
32°C
$4,084 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,188 Vol.
No
34°C
$37,117 Vol.
No
35°C
$18,855 Vol.
Yes
36°C or higher
$30,724 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around a 35°C peak for Guangzhou on June 7 due to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and observational data aligning on that threshold under typical early-June subtropical conditions. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration highlights warm, humid air masses with limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological highs near 32–34°C but nudged upward by recent model consensus. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this convergence while leaving room for modest downward revisions if heavier rainfall or stronger onshore flow develops. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from standardized stations; any last-hour convective cooling or measurement adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 6, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volume
$110,621End Date
Jun 7, 2026Market Opened
Jun 6, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around a 35°C peak for Guangzhou on June 7 due to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and observational data aligning on that threshold under typical early-June subtropical conditions. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration highlights warm, humid air masses with limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological highs near 32–34°C but nudged upward by recent model consensus. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this convergence while leaving room for modest downward revisions if heavier rainfall or stronger onshore flow develops. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from standardized stations; any last-hour convective cooling or measurement adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$110,621End Date
Jun 7, 2026Market Opened
Jun 6, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus has coalesced around a 35°C peak for Guangzhou on June 7 due to the latest numerical weather prediction runs and observational data aligning on that threshold under typical early-June subtropical conditions. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration highlights warm, humid air masses with limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological highs near 32–34°C but nudged upward by recent model consensus. The 100% market-implied probability reflects this convergence while leaving room for modest downward revisions if heavier rainfall or stronger onshore flow develops. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from standardized stations; any last-hour convective cooling or measurement adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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