Traders have overwhelmingly converged on a 28°C daily maximum for Guangzhou on June 9, reflecting the latest official observations and model consensus from regional meteorological networks showing peak temperatures stabilizing at that level amid typical early-summer conditions. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southerly flow have limited daytime heating, consistent with climatological baselines for the Pearl River Delta where June highs average near 30°C but frequently moderate under convective activity. This near-certainty stems from real-time station data aligning precisely with the threshold, leaving minimal room for upward revision. Only unexpected clearing or measurement adjustments in final post-analysis could shift the outcome, though such changes remain statistically rare for daily temperature records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 9?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$69,953 Vol.
$69,953 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$69,953 Vol.
$69,953 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have overwhelmingly converged on a 28°C daily maximum for Guangzhou on June 9, reflecting the latest official observations and model consensus from regional meteorological networks showing peak temperatures stabilizing at that level amid typical early-summer conditions. Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southerly flow have limited daytime heating, consistent with climatological baselines for the Pearl River Delta where June highs average near 30°C but frequently moderate under convective activity. This near-certainty stems from real-time station data aligning precisely with the threshold, leaving minimal room for upward revision. Only unexpected clearing or measurement adjustments in final post-analysis could shift the outcome, though such changes remain statistically rare for daily temperature records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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