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icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?

Ended: Jun 14

Jul 28

Jul 29

Jul 30

Ended: Jun 14

Jul 28

Jul 29

Jul 30

29°C 100.0%

23°C or below <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$224,112 Vol.

29°C 100.0%

23°C or below <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$224,112 Vol.

23°C or below

$618 Vol.

No

24°C

$1,603 Vol.

No

25°C

$1,398 Vol.

No

26°C

$12,725 Vol.

No

27°C

$44,757 Vol.

No

28°C

$31,941 Vol.

No

29°C

$57,815 Vol.

Yes

30°C

$27,185 Vol.

No

31°C

$23,868 Vol.

No

32°C

$12,830 Vol.

No

33°C or higher

$9,373 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have overwhelmingly positioned on 29°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on June 14, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory data confirming a daily maximum at that level under mostly cloudy skies and northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h. These conditions, combined with high humidity near 90%, suppressed stronger daytime heating typical of June’s climatological average highs around 30–31°C. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Observatory noted above-normal temperatures overall, yet local steering patterns and cloud cover aligned precisely with the observed peak. A realistic challenge to this consensus would require a post-event data revision or re-measurement at the reference station, though such adjustments are rare given established verification protocols.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$224,112
End Date
Jun 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have overwhelmingly positioned on 29°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on June 14, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory data confirming a daily maximum at that level under mostly cloudy skies and northeasterly winds of 10–17 km/h. These conditions, combined with high humidity near 90%, suppressed stronger daytime heating typical of June’s climatological average highs around 30–31°C. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Observatory noted above-normal temperatures overall, yet local steering patterns and cloud cover aligned precisely with the observed peak. A realistic challenge to this consensus would require a post-event data revision or re-measurement at the reference station, though such adjustments are rare given established verification protocols.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$224,112
End Date
Jun 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "29°C" at 100%, followed by "23°C or below" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?" has generated $224.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?" is "29°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "23°C or below" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.