Traders see the tightest odds between 32°C and 33°C because short-range models converge on a June-typical maximum near those values for Hong Kong on the 23rd, with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook already flagging above-normal warmth for the month. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect amplify daytime heating, yet scattered showers or increased cloud cover can cap the peak by limiting insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Steering flow from the southwest monsoon and any lingering moisture from upstream disturbances remain the key variables that could nudge the reading one degree either way; clearer, more stable air would favor the higher end while persistent convection would keep readings closer to 32°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 23?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 23?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$210,822 Vol.
$210,822 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$210,822 Vol.
$210,822 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
26°C or below
$321 Vol.
No
27°C
$321 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,160 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,099 Vol.
No
30°C
$16,112 Vol.
No
31°C
$39,401 Vol.
No
32°C
$53,299 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$41,542 Vol.
No
34°C
$24,947 Vol.
No
35°C
$16,544 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$8,077 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see the tightest odds between 32°C and 33°C because short-range models converge on a June-typical maximum near those values for Hong Kong on the 23rd, with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook already flagging above-normal warmth for the month. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect amplify daytime heating, yet scattered showers or increased cloud cover can cap the peak by limiting insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Steering flow from the southwest monsoon and any lingering moisture from upstream disturbances remain the key variables that could nudge the reading one degree either way; clearer, more stable air would favor the higher end while persistent convection would keep readings closer to 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Jun 21, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$210,822End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders see the tightest odds between 32°C and 33°C because short-range models converge on a June-typical maximum near those values for Hong Kong on the 23rd, with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook already flagging above-normal warmth for the month. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect amplify daytime heating, yet scattered showers or increased cloud cover can cap the peak by limiting insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Steering flow from the southwest monsoon and any lingering moisture from upstream disturbances remain the key variables that could nudge the reading one degree either way; clearer, more stable air would favor the higher end while persistent convection would keep readings closer to 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$210,822End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders see the tightest odds between 32°C and 33°C because short-range models converge on a June-typical maximum near those values for Hong Kong on the 23rd, with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook already flagging above-normal warmth for the month. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect amplify daytime heating, yet scattered showers or increased cloud cover can cap the peak by limiting insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Steering flow from the southwest monsoon and any lingering moisture from upstream disturbances remain the key variables that could nudge the reading one degree either way; clearer, more stable air would favor the higher end while persistent convection would keep readings closer to 32°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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