The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Houston's William P. Hobby Airport projects a high temperature of 86–90°F today, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher, backed by model agreement on a persistent upper-level ridge fostering sunny skies, light south-southeasterly winds, and ample daytime heating. Current observations already show mid-afternoon readings near 87°F under partly cloudy conditions, aligning with seasonal norms but elevated by the warming trend across Southeast Texas. Realistic challenges to this outcome—such as unexpected marine layer development or enhanced sea breeze cooling—remain improbable given the forecast stability, with final resolution hinging on official airport measurements by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on April 25?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 25?
82°F or higher 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$91,290 Vol.
$91,290 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
Yes
82°F or higher 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$91,290 Vol.
$91,290 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
63°F or below
$726 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$480 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$585 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$1,359 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$4,843 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$4,855 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$4,991 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$5,503 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$2,832 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$10,143 Vol.
No
82°F or higher
$54,974 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Houston's William P. Hobby Airport projects a high temperature of 86–90°F today, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher, backed by model agreement on a persistent upper-level ridge fostering sunny skies, light south-southeasterly winds, and ample daytime heating. Current observations already show mid-afternoon readings near 87°F under partly cloudy conditions, aligning with seasonal norms but elevated by the warming trend across Southeast Texas. Realistic challenges to this outcome—such as unexpected marine layer development or enhanced sea breeze cooling—remain improbable given the forecast stability, with final resolution hinging on official airport measurements by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$91,290End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Houston's William P. Hobby Airport projects a high temperature of 86–90°F today, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher, backed by model agreement on a persistent upper-level ridge fostering sunny skies, light south-southeasterly winds, and ample daytime heating. Current observations already show mid-afternoon readings near 87°F under partly cloudy conditions, aligning with seasonal norms but elevated by the warming trend across Southeast Texas. Realistic challenges to this outcome—such as unexpected marine layer development or enhanced sea breeze cooling—remain improbable given the forecast stability, with final resolution hinging on official airport measurements by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$91,290End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Houston's William P. Hobby Airport projects a high temperature of 86–90°F today, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher, backed by model agreement on a persistent upper-level ridge fostering sunny skies, light south-southeasterly winds, and ample daytime heating. Current observations already show mid-afternoon readings near 87°F under partly cloudy conditions, aligning with seasonal norms but elevated by the warming trend across Southeast Texas. Realistic challenges to this outcome—such as unexpected marine layer development or enhanced sea breeze cooling—remain improbable given the forecast stability, with final resolution hinging on official airport measurements by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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