Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 32°C high temperature in Jakarta on May 5, 2026, backed by observational data from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the official resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of 32°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. BMKG's latest short-range forecasts aligned with this, projecting daytime highs of 31–32°C during the early dry season onset, consistent with May climatological averages of 32°C under reduced cloud cover and optimal solar insolation, influenced by neutral ENSO conditions transitioning to weak El Niño. Urban heat island effects from Jakarta's dense infrastructure were tempered by residual humidity and sea breezes, capping further warming; only an improbable prolonged clear-sky window late in the day could push to 33°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood ahead of evening cooldown.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 5?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 5?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$118,060 交易量
$118,060 交易量
2026-05-05
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$118,060 交易量
$118,060 交易量
2026-05-05
27°C or below
$5,332 交易量
No
28°C
$3,158 交易量
No
29°C
$5,021 交易量
No
30°C
$11,579 交易量
No
31°C
$15,437 交易量
No
32°C
$14,914 交易量
Yes
33°C
$8,053 交易量
No
34°C
$13,665 交易量
No
35°C
$18,689 交易量
No
36°C
$12,844 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$9,368 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 32°C high temperature in Jakarta on May 5, 2026, backed by observational data from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the official resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of 32°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. BMKG's latest short-range forecasts aligned with this, projecting daytime highs of 31–32°C during the early dry season onset, consistent with May climatological averages of 32°C under reduced cloud cover and optimal solar insolation, influenced by neutral ENSO conditions transitioning to weak El Niño. Urban heat island effects from Jakarta's dense infrastructure were tempered by residual humidity and sea breezes, capping further warming; only an improbable prolonged clear-sky window late in the day could push to 33°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood ahead of evening cooldown.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$118,060结束日期
2026-05-05市场开放时间
May 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 32°C high temperature in Jakarta on May 5, 2026, backed by observational data from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the official resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of 32°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. BMKG's latest short-range forecasts aligned with this, projecting daytime highs of 31–32°C during the early dry season onset, consistent with May climatological averages of 32°C under reduced cloud cover and optimal solar insolation, influenced by neutral ENSO conditions transitioning to weak El Niño. Urban heat island effects from Jakarta's dense infrastructure were tempered by residual humidity and sea breezes, capping further warming; only an improbable prolonged clear-sky window late in the day could push to 33°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood ahead of evening cooldown.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$118,060结束日期
2026-05-05市场开放时间
May 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 32°C high temperature in Jakarta on May 5, 2026, backed by observational data from the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the official resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of 32°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. BMKG's latest short-range forecasts aligned with this, projecting daytime highs of 31–32°C during the early dry season onset, consistent with May climatological averages of 32°C under reduced cloud cover and optimal solar insolation, influenced by neutral ENSO conditions transitioning to weak El Niño. Urban heat island effects from Jakarta's dense infrastructure were tempered by residual humidity and sea breezes, capping further warming; only an improbable prolonged clear-sky window late in the day could push to 33°C, though model ensembles show low likelihood ahead of evening cooldown.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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