Trader consensus around 32–33°C for Kuala Lumpur’s July 19 high reflects ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS runs showing afternoon maxima near the long-term July average of 32.5°C. Persistent low-level moisture, typical of the southwest monsoon, supports scattered convection that often caps daytime heating through cloud cover and brief showers, keeping outcomes clustered in this narrow band. Recent upper-level ridging has been weak, limiting extreme heat potential, while sea-surface temperatures in the Strait of Malacca remain near normal and provide little additional thermal boost. Model spread on timing and intensity of afternoon thunderstorms creates the observed 41.5 %–33.5 % split between the two leading bins, with later runs expected to narrow uncertainty ahead of the 19th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 19?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 19?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$113,357 Vol.
$113,357 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$113,357 Vol.
$113,357 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
26°C or below
$208 Vol.
No
27°C
$417 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,071 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,985 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,131 Vol.
No
31°C
$40,704 Vol.
No
32°C
$21,241 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$7,575 Vol.
No
34°C
$26,373 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,012 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$1,641 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 32–33°C for Kuala Lumpur’s July 19 high reflects ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS runs showing afternoon maxima near the long-term July average of 32.5°C. Persistent low-level moisture, typical of the southwest monsoon, supports scattered convection that often caps daytime heating through cloud cover and brief showers, keeping outcomes clustered in this narrow band. Recent upper-level ridging has been weak, limiting extreme heat potential, while sea-surface temperatures in the Strait of Malacca remain near normal and provide little additional thermal boost. Model spread on timing and intensity of afternoon thunderstorms creates the observed 41.5 %–33.5 % split between the two leading bins, with later runs expected to narrow uncertainty ahead of the 19th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$113,357End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 32–33°C for Kuala Lumpur’s July 19 high reflects ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS runs showing afternoon maxima near the long-term July average of 32.5°C. Persistent low-level moisture, typical of the southwest monsoon, supports scattered convection that often caps daytime heating through cloud cover and brief showers, keeping outcomes clustered in this narrow band. Recent upper-level ridging has been weak, limiting extreme heat potential, while sea-surface temperatures in the Strait of Malacca remain near normal and provide little additional thermal boost. Model spread on timing and intensity of afternoon thunderstorms creates the observed 41.5 %–33.5 % split between the two leading bins, with later runs expected to narrow uncertainty ahead of the 19th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$113,357End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus around 32–33°C for Kuala Lumpur’s July 19 high reflects ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS runs showing afternoon maxima near the long-term July average of 32.5°C. Persistent low-level moisture, typical of the southwest monsoon, supports scattered convection that often caps daytime heating through cloud cover and brief showers, keeping outcomes clustered in this narrow band. Recent upper-level ridging has been weak, limiting extreme heat potential, while sea-surface temperatures in the Strait of Malacca remain near normal and provide little additional thermal boost. Model spread on timing and intensity of afternoon thunderstorms creates the observed 41.5 %–33.5 % split between the two leading bins, with later runs expected to narrow uncertainty ahead of the 19th.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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