**Trader sentiment reflects short-range forecast uncertainty around Kuala Lumpur’s typical July maximum.** Official guidance and ensemble models cluster near 31–33 °C for 4 July, consistent with the southwest monsoon’s suppressed rainfall and high solar insolation. Afternoon convective showers, common even in the drier season, can cap temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling; lighter shower activity or delayed onset favors the upper end of the range. Historical July averages (≈31–32 °C) and the city’s urban heat-island effect provide a baseline, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any sea-breeze convergence explains the near-even split between 32 °C and 33 °C. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Department and global ensembles over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the narrow gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 4?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 4?
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$89,271 Vol.
$89,271 Vol.
Jul 4, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$89,271 Vol.
$89,271 Vol.
Jul 4, 2026
25°C or below
$2,731 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,731 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,549 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,215 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,278 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,393 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,797 Vol.
No
32°C
$17,843 Vol.
No
33°C
$13,672 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$25,603 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$8,459 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment reflects short-range forecast uncertainty around Kuala Lumpur’s typical July maximum.** Official guidance and ensemble models cluster near 31–33 °C for 4 July, consistent with the southwest monsoon’s suppressed rainfall and high solar insolation. Afternoon convective showers, common even in the drier season, can cap temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling; lighter shower activity or delayed onset favors the upper end of the range. Historical July averages (≈31–32 °C) and the city’s urban heat-island effect provide a baseline, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any sea-breeze convergence explains the near-even split between 32 °C and 33 °C. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Department and global ensembles over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the narrow gap.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$89,271End Date
Jul 4, 2026Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment reflects short-range forecast uncertainty around Kuala Lumpur’s typical July maximum.** Official guidance and ensemble models cluster near 31–33 °C for 4 July, consistent with the southwest monsoon’s suppressed rainfall and high solar insolation. Afternoon convective showers, common even in the drier season, can cap temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling; lighter shower activity or delayed onset favors the upper end of the range. Historical July averages (≈31–32 °C) and the city’s urban heat-island effect provide a baseline, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any sea-breeze convergence explains the near-even split between 32 °C and 33 °C. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Department and global ensembles over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the narrow gap.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$89,271End Date
Jul 4, 2026Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader sentiment reflects short-range forecast uncertainty around Kuala Lumpur’s typical July maximum.** Official guidance and ensemble models cluster near 31–33 °C for 4 July, consistent with the southwest monsoon’s suppressed rainfall and high solar insolation. Afternoon convective showers, common even in the drier season, can cap temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling; lighter shower activity or delayed onset favors the upper end of the range. Historical July averages (≈31–32 °C) and the city’s urban heat-island effect provide a baseline, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any sea-breeze convergence explains the near-even split between 32 °C and 33 °C. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Department and global ensembles over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve the narrow gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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