Kuala Lumpur’s equatorial location and southwest monsoon regime drive a narrow temperature band around 31–34°C for daily highs, with the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) promoting afternoon convection that frequently caps peaks through cloud cover and showers. Recent model guidance and a brief drier interval have lifted implied odds for 33°C to 30.5 percent while spreading probability across 32°C and 34°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of convective outbreaks. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity, low-level wind convergence, and the strength of diurnal heating before storms develop; clearer mornings favor the upper end of the distribution, whereas earlier or heavier rainfall keeps readings near 31–32°C. Official short-range updates from the Malaysian Meteorological Department and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 9?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 9?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$76,157 Vol.
$76,157 Vol.
Jul 9, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$76,157 Vol.
$76,157 Vol.
Jul 9, 2026
26°C or below
$2,770 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,440 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,387 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,090 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,267 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,601 Vol.
No
32°C
$11,184 Vol.
No
33°C
$23,291 Vol.
No
34°C
$12,088 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$4,199 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$1,841 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Kuala Lumpur’s equatorial location and southwest monsoon regime drive a narrow temperature band around 31–34°C for daily highs, with the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) promoting afternoon convection that frequently caps peaks through cloud cover and showers. Recent model guidance and a brief drier interval have lifted implied odds for 33°C to 30.5 percent while spreading probability across 32°C and 34°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of convective outbreaks. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity, low-level wind convergence, and the strength of diurnal heating before storms develop; clearer mornings favor the upper end of the distribution, whereas earlier or heavier rainfall keeps readings near 31–32°C. Official short-range updates from the Malaysian Meteorological Department and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$76,157End Date
Jul 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Kuala Lumpur’s equatorial location and southwest monsoon regime drive a narrow temperature band around 31–34°C for daily highs, with the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) promoting afternoon convection that frequently caps peaks through cloud cover and showers. Recent model guidance and a brief drier interval have lifted implied odds for 33°C to 30.5 percent while spreading probability across 32°C and 34°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of convective outbreaks. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity, low-level wind convergence, and the strength of diurnal heating before storms develop; clearer mornings favor the upper end of the distribution, whereas earlier or heavier rainfall keeps readings near 31–32°C. Official short-range updates from the Malaysian Meteorological Department and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$76,157End Date
Jul 9, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Kuala Lumpur’s equatorial location and southwest monsoon regime drive a narrow temperature band around 31–34°C for daily highs, with the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) promoting afternoon convection that frequently caps peaks through cloud cover and showers. Recent model guidance and a brief drier interval have lifted implied odds for 33°C to 30.5 percent while spreading probability across 32°C and 34°C, reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of convective outbreaks. Key variables include boundary-layer humidity, low-level wind convergence, and the strength of diurnal heating before storms develop; clearer mornings favor the upper end of the distribution, whereas earlier or heavier rainfall keeps readings near 31–32°C. Official short-range updates from the Malaysian Meteorological Department and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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