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Highest temperature in London on June 24?

icon for Highest temperature in London on June 24?

Highest temperature in London on June 24?

35°C or below 100.0%

36°C <1%

37°C <1%

38°C <1%

Polymarket

$276,290 Vol.

35°C or below 100.0%

36°C <1%

37°C <1%

38°C <1%

Polymarket

$276,290 Vol.

35°C or below

$71,137 Vol.

Yes

36°C

$72,604 Vol.

No

37°C

$40,277 Vol.

No

38°C

$33,504 Vol.

No

39°C

$18,883 Vol.

No

40°C

$17,926 Vol.

No

41°C

$14,753 Vol.

No

42°C

$4,833 Vol.

No

43°C

$1,035 Vol.

No

44°C

$684 Vol.

No

45°C or higher

$653 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts highlight a strengthening high-pressure system and warm southerly flow driving an early-summer heatwave across southern England, with central London temperatures potentially peaking near 35–37 °C on June 24. Ensemble model runs show modest spread around these values due to uncertain cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, while climatological baselines place average June maxima near 20–22 °C. The amber extreme-heat warning through mid-week and the proximity to the UK June record of 35.6 °C anchor trader focus on the 36–38 °C band, though any overnight cooling or Atlantic front arrival could cap readings at 35 °C or below. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will further refine land-breeze and urban-heat-island effects.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$276,290
End Date
Jun 24, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts highlight a strengthening high-pressure system and warm southerly flow driving an early-summer heatwave across southern England, with central London temperatures potentially peaking near 35–37 °C on June 24. Ensemble model runs show modest spread around these values due to uncertain cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, while climatological baselines place average June maxima near 20–22 °C. The amber extreme-heat warning through mid-week and the proximity to the UK June record of 35.6 °C anchor trader focus on the 36–38 °C band, though any overnight cooling or Atlantic front arrival could cap readings at 35 °C or below. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours will further refine land-breeze and urban-heat-island effects.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$276,290
End Date
Jun 24, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in London on June 24?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "35°C or below" at 100%, followed by "36°C" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in London on June 24?" has generated $276.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in London on June 24?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in London on June 24?" is "35°C or below" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "36°C" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in London on June 24?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.