Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts have converged on a daily maximum of 19°C across central London sites, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a moderating southwesterly flow that has suppressed diurnal warming. This aligns with observed temperatures hovering near 15–17°C through midday and historical June averages of 19–20°C under similar unsettled patterns. Trader positioning at 100% on 19°C reflects high confidence in these verified forecast outputs, with only marginal uncertainty from localized variations or station-specific readings. A rapid clearance of cloud or stronger insolation could push readings to 20°C or higher, though current model agreement makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on June 7?
19°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$149,673 Vol.
$149,673 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$149,673 Vol.
$149,673 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 6, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts have converged on a daily maximum of 19°C across central London sites, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and a moderating southwesterly flow that has suppressed diurnal warming. This aligns with observed temperatures hovering near 15–17°C through midday and historical June averages of 19–20°C under similar unsettled patterns. Trader positioning at 100% on 19°C reflects high confidence in these verified forecast outputs, with only marginal uncertainty from localized variations or station-specific readings. A rapid clearance of cloud or stronger insolation could push readings to 20°C or higher, though current model agreement makes such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions