Trader consensus on a 70-71°F high for Los Angeles on June 17 centers on the National Weather Service’s official recording at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), which matched that narrow band. Marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow kept coastal maxima well below inland values, consistent with typical early-summer climatology for the basin. With the event concluded and the climatological report released, the market-implied probability exceeds 99 percent because the measured value aligns precisely with resolution criteria. Only an unlikely post-publication data revision or use of a non-standard station could alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on June 17?
70-71°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$56,174 Vol.
$56,174 Vol.
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$56,174 Vol.
$56,174 Vol.
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 15, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on a 70-71°F high for Los Angeles on June 17 centers on the National Weather Service’s official recording at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), which matched that narrow band. Marine-layer influence and moderate onshore flow kept coastal maxima well below inland values, consistent with typical early-summer climatology for the basin. With the event concluded and the climatological report released, the market-implied probability exceeds 99 percent because the measured value aligns precisely with resolution criteria. Only an unlikely post-publication data revision or use of a non-standard station could alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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