Persistent marine layer conditions, reinforced by a deeper coastal inversion and classic June Gloom pattern, are driving trader consensus toward the 68-69°F bin as the most likely high for downtown Los Angeles on June 19. Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance show stronger onshore flow and thicker low clouds persisting through midweek, suppressing daytime heating below the seasonal 77-79°F normal and favoring readings in the upper 60s. This aligns with observed cooling trends since June 16, when a midweek cooldown reestablished the marine layer after brief warming. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of limited solar insolation and afternoon clearing delays against the chance of modest layer erosion, which keeps secondary bins like 66-67°F and 70-71°F in play but at lower implied odds. Updated NHC and NOAA model runs over the next 24 hours will be key to any shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on June 19?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 19?
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$84,670 Vol.
$84,670 Vol.
Jun 19, 2026
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$84,670 Vol.
$84,670 Vol.
Jun 19, 2026
59°F or below
$7,653 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$10,567 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$15,255 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$2,843 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$7,702 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$11,386 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$11,920 Vol.
Yes
72-73°F
$8,959 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$2,416 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$4,559 Vol.
No
78°F or higher
$1,410 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer conditions, reinforced by a deeper coastal inversion and classic June Gloom pattern, are driving trader consensus toward the 68-69°F bin as the most likely high for downtown Los Angeles on June 19. Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance show stronger onshore flow and thicker low clouds persisting through midweek, suppressing daytime heating below the seasonal 77-79°F normal and favoring readings in the upper 60s. This aligns with observed cooling trends since June 16, when a midweek cooldown reestablished the marine layer after brief warming. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of limited solar insolation and afternoon clearing delays against the chance of modest layer erosion, which keeps secondary bins like 66-67°F and 70-71°F in play but at lower implied odds. Updated NHC and NOAA model runs over the next 24 hours will be key to any shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$84,670End Date
Jun 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer conditions, reinforced by a deeper coastal inversion and classic June Gloom pattern, are driving trader consensus toward the 68-69°F bin as the most likely high for downtown Los Angeles on June 19. Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance show stronger onshore flow and thicker low clouds persisting through midweek, suppressing daytime heating below the seasonal 77-79°F normal and favoring readings in the upper 60s. This aligns with observed cooling trends since June 16, when a midweek cooldown reestablished the marine layer after brief warming. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of limited solar insolation and afternoon clearing delays against the chance of modest layer erosion, which keeps secondary bins like 66-67°F and 70-71°F in play but at lower implied odds. Updated NHC and NOAA model runs over the next 24 hours will be key to any shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$84,670End Date
Jun 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Persistent marine layer conditions, reinforced by a deeper coastal inversion and classic June Gloom pattern, are driving trader consensus toward the 68-69°F bin as the most likely high for downtown Los Angeles on June 19. Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance show stronger onshore flow and thicker low clouds persisting through midweek, suppressing daytime heating below the seasonal 77-79°F normal and favoring readings in the upper 60s. This aligns with observed cooling trends since June 16, when a midweek cooldown reestablished the marine layer after brief warming. Traders appear to weigh the high probability of limited solar insolation and afternoon clearing delays against the chance of modest layer erosion, which keeps secondary bins like 66-67°F and 70-71°F in play but at lower implied odds. Updated NHC and NOAA model runs over the next 24 hours will be key to any shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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