Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 70-71°F (32.5%) and 68-69°F (27.5%) for Los Angeles's peak temperature on June 26, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for moderate coastal readings driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that limits afternoon warming. Recent Global Forecast System runs indicate stratus clouds and a moderate sea breeze will keep highs near or slightly below early-summer climatology of roughly 73°F, with minimal inland heat advection expected. Differentiating factors include the timing of any marine-layer clearing and wind strength, which could add a degree or two if skies break earlier than modeled. Updated National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data point for refining these closely matched outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on June 26?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 26?
70-71°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$70,892 Vol.
$70,892 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
61°F or below <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$70,892 Vol.
$70,892 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
61°F or below
$559 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$2,253 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$2,096 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$4,864 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$9,882 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$21,260 Vol.
Yes
72-73°F
$13,869 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$6,600 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,308 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$3,810 Vol.
No
80°F or higher
$4,390 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 70-71°F (32.5%) and 68-69°F (27.5%) for Los Angeles's peak temperature on June 26, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for moderate coastal readings driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that limits afternoon warming. Recent Global Forecast System runs indicate stratus clouds and a moderate sea breeze will keep highs near or slightly below early-summer climatology of roughly 73°F, with minimal inland heat advection expected. Differentiating factors include the timing of any marine-layer clearing and wind strength, which could add a degree or two if skies break earlier than modeled. Updated National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data point for refining these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$70,892End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 70-71°F (32.5%) and 68-69°F (27.5%) for Los Angeles's peak temperature on June 26, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for moderate coastal readings driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that limits afternoon warming. Recent Global Forecast System runs indicate stratus clouds and a moderate sea breeze will keep highs near or slightly below early-summer climatology of roughly 73°F, with minimal inland heat advection expected. Differentiating factors include the timing of any marine-layer clearing and wind strength, which could add a degree or two if skies break earlier than modeled. Updated National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data point for refining these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$70,892End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 70-71°F (32.5%) and 68-69°F (27.5%) for Los Angeles's peak temperature on June 26, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for moderate coastal readings driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that limits afternoon warming. Recent Global Forecast System runs indicate stratus clouds and a moderate sea breeze will keep highs near or slightly below early-summer climatology of roughly 73°F, with minimal inland heat advection expected. Differentiating factors include the timing of any marine-layer clearing and wind strength, which could add a degree or two if skies break earlier than modeled. Updated National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data point for refining these closely matched outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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