Official measurements from Spain’s AEMET confirmed a daily maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 24 under stable high pressure and light southeasterly winds, matching pre-event model consensus and driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observational data showed temperatures tracking forecasts closely through the afternoon, with no significant deviations from climatological norms for late May. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates the limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or localized variability. The primary variables that could have altered the result—stronger advection or delayed cloud cover—did not materialize, leaving resolution criteria firmly met at the 32°C threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on May 24?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 24?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$60,891 ปริมาณ
$60,891 ปริมาณ
May 24, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$60,891 ปริมาณ
$60,891 ปริมาณ
May 24, 2026
26°C or below
$1,702 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$669 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$2,177 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$4,120 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$6,008 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$7,514 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$15,051 ปริมาณ
Yes
33°C
$10,960 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$7,858 ปริมาณ
No
35°C
$3,341 ปริมาณ
No
36°C or higher
$1,490 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from Spain’s AEMET confirmed a daily maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 24 under stable high pressure and light southeasterly winds, matching pre-event model consensus and driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observational data showed temperatures tracking forecasts closely through the afternoon, with no significant deviations from climatological norms for late May. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates the limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or localized variability. The primary variables that could have altered the result—stronger advection or delayed cloud cover—did not materialize, leaving resolution criteria firmly met at the 32°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 22, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,891วันสิ้นสุด
May 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 22, 2026, 12:42 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from Spain’s AEMET confirmed a daily maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 24 under stable high pressure and light southeasterly winds, matching pre-event model consensus and driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observational data showed temperatures tracking forecasts closely through the afternoon, with no significant deviations from climatological norms for late May. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates the limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or localized variability. The primary variables that could have altered the result—stronger advection or delayed cloud cover—did not materialize, leaving resolution criteria firmly met at the 32°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,891วันสิ้นสุด
May 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 22, 2026, 12:42 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official measurements from Spain’s AEMET confirmed a daily maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 24 under stable high pressure and light southeasterly winds, matching pre-event model consensus and driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Recent observational data showed temperatures tracking forecasts closely through the afternoon, with no significant deviations from climatological norms for late May. This skin-in-the-game consensus incorporates the limited upside risk from urban heat-island effects or localized variability. The primary variables that could have altered the result—stronger advection or delayed cloud cover—did not materialize, leaving resolution criteria firmly met at the 32°C threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย