Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a June 30 peak of 28°C (25%) or 30°C-plus (21%) because short-range ensemble forecasts place Chengdu’s maximum near the late-June climatological mean of 28–30°C, with modest upside risk from daytime heating under variable cloud cover. The Sichuan Basin’s humid subtropical regime, modulated by the East Asian monsoon, produces frequent afternoon thundershowers that can cap temperatures or allow clearer periods for stronger insolation; current model runs show limited consensus on exact cloud and precipitation timing two days out, widening the distribution across the 26–30°C bins. Official monitoring from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market using the daily maximum at the Chengdu station, where even small shifts in steering flow or moisture can swing the outcome by 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 30?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 30?
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$155,259 ปริมาณ
$155,259 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$155,259 ปริมาณ
$155,259 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
20°C or below
$19,576 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$951 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$3,567 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$1,060 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$3,463 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$26,421 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$17,277 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$14,891 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$18,808 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$13,186 ปริมาณ
No
30°C or higher
$36,060 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a June 30 peak of 28°C (25%) or 30°C-plus (21%) because short-range ensemble forecasts place Chengdu’s maximum near the late-June climatological mean of 28–30°C, with modest upside risk from daytime heating under variable cloud cover. The Sichuan Basin’s humid subtropical regime, modulated by the East Asian monsoon, produces frequent afternoon thundershowers that can cap temperatures or allow clearer periods for stronger insolation; current model runs show limited consensus on exact cloud and precipitation timing two days out, widening the distribution across the 26–30°C bins. Official monitoring from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market using the daily maximum at the Chengdu station, where even small shifts in steering flow or moisture can swing the outcome by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$155,259วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a June 30 peak of 28°C (25%) or 30°C-plus (21%) because short-range ensemble forecasts place Chengdu’s maximum near the late-June climatological mean of 28–30°C, with modest upside risk from daytime heating under variable cloud cover. The Sichuan Basin’s humid subtropical regime, modulated by the East Asian monsoon, produces frequent afternoon thundershowers that can cap temperatures or allow clearer periods for stronger insolation; current model runs show limited consensus on exact cloud and precipitation timing two days out, widening the distribution across the 26–30°C bins. Official monitoring from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market using the daily maximum at the Chengdu station, where even small shifts in steering flow or moisture can swing the outcome by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$155,259วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a June 30 peak of 28°C (25%) or 30°C-plus (21%) because short-range ensemble forecasts place Chengdu’s maximum near the late-June climatological mean of 28–30°C, with modest upside risk from daytime heating under variable cloud cover. The Sichuan Basin’s humid subtropical regime, modulated by the East Asian monsoon, produces frequent afternoon thundershowers that can cap temperatures or allow clearer periods for stronger insolation; current model runs show limited consensus on exact cloud and precipitation timing two days out, widening the distribution across the 26–30°C bins. Official monitoring from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market using the daily maximum at the Chengdu station, where even small shifts in steering flow or moisture can swing the outcome by 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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