PAGASA's official observations for May 6, 2026, recorded Metro Manila's highest temperature at 36.3°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport in Pasay City, with Science Garden in Quezon City reaching 35.5°C around 2:00 PM, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for the 36°C outcome amid persistent easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies and subsidence that boosts daytime heating during the peak dry season. This exceeds short-range forecasts of 34–35°C from PAGASA's extended outlook, reflecting typical model underestimation in high-heat scenarios driven by clear-sky solar insolation and urban heat island effects in Manila. Realistic challenges include a late-afternoon data update revealing higher readings at Port Area station or measurement revisions, though unlikely post-peak hours; upcoming evening bulletins will confirm final maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on May 6?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 6?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$25,792 Vol.
$25,792 Vol.
May 6, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$25,792 Vol.
$25,792 Vol.
May 6, 2026
29°C or below
$200 Vol.
No
30°C
$355 Vol.
No
31°C
$515 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,399 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,073 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,484 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,946 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,733 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$5,100 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,743 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$1,245 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official observations for May 6, 2026, recorded Metro Manila's highest temperature at 36.3°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport in Pasay City, with Science Garden in Quezon City reaching 35.5°C around 2:00 PM, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for the 36°C outcome amid persistent easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies and subsidence that boosts daytime heating during the peak dry season. This exceeds short-range forecasts of 34–35°C from PAGASA's extended outlook, reflecting typical model underestimation in high-heat scenarios driven by clear-sky solar insolation and urban heat island effects in Manila. Realistic challenges include a late-afternoon data update revealing higher readings at Port Area station or measurement revisions, though unlikely post-peak hours; upcoming evening bulletins will confirm final maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Volume
$25,792End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official observations for May 6, 2026, recorded Metro Manila's highest temperature at 36.3°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport in Pasay City, with Science Garden in Quezon City reaching 35.5°C around 2:00 PM, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for the 36°C outcome amid persistent easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies and subsidence that boosts daytime heating during the peak dry season. This exceeds short-range forecasts of 34–35°C from PAGASA's extended outlook, reflecting typical model underestimation in high-heat scenarios driven by clear-sky solar insolation and urban heat island effects in Manila. Realistic challenges include a late-afternoon data update revealing higher readings at Port Area station or measurement revisions, though unlikely post-peak hours; upcoming evening bulletins will confirm final maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$25,792End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
PAGASA's official observations for May 6, 2026, recorded Metro Manila's highest temperature at 36.3°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport in Pasay City, with Science Garden in Quezon City reaching 35.5°C around 2:00 PM, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for the 36°C outcome amid persistent easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies and subsidence that boosts daytime heating during the peak dry season. This exceeds short-range forecasts of 34–35°C from PAGASA's extended outlook, reflecting typical model underestimation in high-heat scenarios driven by clear-sky solar insolation and urban heat island effects in Manila. Realistic challenges include a late-afternoon data update revealing higher readings at Port Area station or measurement revisions, though unlikely post-peak hours; upcoming evening bulletins will confirm final maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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