Trader consensus on the Mexico City July 18 high clusters tightly around 23–25 °C because ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show typical mid-rainy-season conditions, with daytime maxima moderated by afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers. Mexico City’s high-elevation setting (roughly 2,240 m) keeps seasonal July averages near 24 °C; recent model runs indicate mostly cloudy skies and light precipitation that limit solar heating, producing a narrow spread of outcomes. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data will determine the exact maximum, and any late-day clearing or delayed convection could shift the reading by 1–2 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 18?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 18?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$29,720 Vol.
$29,720 Vol.
Jul 18, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$29,720 Vol.
$29,720 Vol.
Jul 18, 2026
18°C or below
$1,756 Vol.
No
19°C
$534 Vol.
No
20°C
$421 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,550 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,784 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,295 Vol.
No
24°C
$9,189 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,379 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$3,892 Vol.
No
27°C
$837 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$1,084 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Mexico City July 18 high clusters tightly around 23–25 °C because ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show typical mid-rainy-season conditions, with daytime maxima moderated by afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers. Mexico City’s high-elevation setting (roughly 2,240 m) keeps seasonal July averages near 24 °C; recent model runs indicate mostly cloudy skies and light precipitation that limit solar heating, producing a narrow spread of outcomes. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data will determine the exact maximum, and any late-day clearing or delayed convection could shift the reading by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$29,720End Date
Jul 18, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Mexico City July 18 high clusters tightly around 23–25 °C because ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show typical mid-rainy-season conditions, with daytime maxima moderated by afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers. Mexico City’s high-elevation setting (roughly 2,240 m) keeps seasonal July averages near 24 °C; recent model runs indicate mostly cloudy skies and light precipitation that limit solar heating, producing a narrow spread of outcomes. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data will determine the exact maximum, and any late-day clearing or delayed convection could shift the reading by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,720End Date
Jul 18, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on the Mexico City July 18 high clusters tightly around 23–25 °C because ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show typical mid-rainy-season conditions, with daytime maxima moderated by afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers. Mexico City’s high-elevation setting (roughly 2,240 m) keeps seasonal July averages near 24 °C; recent model runs indicate mostly cloudy skies and light precipitation that limit solar heating, producing a narrow spread of outcomes. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data will determine the exact maximum, and any late-day clearing or delayed convection could shift the reading by 1–2 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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