The market's overwhelming 100% consensus on a 25°C high for Mexico City on June 13, 2026, stems directly from official meteorological observations confirming that exact maximum under typical early-wet-season conditions. This aligns with the city's high-altitude climatology, where June daytime peaks average near 24–25°C amid moderating cloud cover and the onset of seasonal rains, as tracked by standard surface stations. Traders have priced in near-certainty because post-event data from Mexico’s meteorological service show no deviation from this value. Only an unprecedented revision in recorded measurements or station-specific anomalies could shift the outcome, though such changes remain highly improbable given verified reporting protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 13?
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$30,516 Vol.
$30,516 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$30,516 Vol.
$30,516 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 11, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market's overwhelming 100% consensus on a 25°C high for Mexico City on June 13, 2026, stems directly from official meteorological observations confirming that exact maximum under typical early-wet-season conditions. This aligns with the city's high-altitude climatology, where June daytime peaks average near 24–25°C amid moderating cloud cover and the onset of seasonal rains, as tracked by standard surface stations. Traders have priced in near-certainty because post-event data from Mexico’s meteorological service show no deviation from this value. Only an unprecedented revision in recorded measurements or station-specific anomalies could shift the outcome, though such changes remain highly improbable given verified reporting protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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