Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters keeps daytime highs moderate even in late June, with historical maxima clustering between 22°C and 27°C as the rainy season begins. Current forecasts from multiple sources point to 24–26°C peaks on June 22 amid increasing cloud cover and afternoon convective showers that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus splitting evenly between 26°C and 27°C reflects minor model differences in timing of cloud build-up, humidity levels, and exact wind patterns rather than any extreme deviation. These factors create tight uncertainty around the upper end of the typical range, with lower probabilities assigned to 25°C or below if stronger storms develop earlier or to 28°C+ only under unusually clear, dry conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 22?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 22?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,522 Vol.
$19,522 Vol.
Jun 22, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,522 Vol.
$19,522 Vol.
Jun 22, 2026
21°C or below
$377 Vol.
No
22°C
$526 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,189 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,126 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,495 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$2,573 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,417 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,283 Vol.
No
29°C
$521 Vol.
No
30°C
$779 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$237 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters keeps daytime highs moderate even in late June, with historical maxima clustering between 22°C and 27°C as the rainy season begins. Current forecasts from multiple sources point to 24–26°C peaks on June 22 amid increasing cloud cover and afternoon convective showers that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus splitting evenly between 26°C and 27°C reflects minor model differences in timing of cloud build-up, humidity levels, and exact wind patterns rather than any extreme deviation. These factors create tight uncertainty around the upper end of the typical range, with lower probabilities assigned to 25°C or below if stronger storms develop earlier or to 28°C+ only under unusually clear, dry conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Volume
$19,522End Date
Jun 22, 2026Market Opened
Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters keeps daytime highs moderate even in late June, with historical maxima clustering between 22°C and 27°C as the rainy season begins. Current forecasts from multiple sources point to 24–26°C peaks on June 22 amid increasing cloud cover and afternoon convective showers that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus splitting evenly between 26°C and 27°C reflects minor model differences in timing of cloud build-up, humidity levels, and exact wind patterns rather than any extreme deviation. These factors create tight uncertainty around the upper end of the typical range, with lower probabilities assigned to 25°C or below if stronger storms develop earlier or to 28°C+ only under unusually clear, dry conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,522End Date
Jun 22, 2026Market Opened
Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Mexico City's high elevation of roughly 2,240 meters keeps daytime highs moderate even in late June, with historical maxima clustering between 22°C and 27°C as the rainy season begins. Current forecasts from multiple sources point to 24–26°C peaks on June 22 amid increasing cloud cover and afternoon convective showers that limit solar heating and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus splitting evenly between 26°C and 27°C reflects minor model differences in timing of cloud build-up, humidity levels, and exact wind patterns rather than any extreme deviation. These factors create tight uncertainty around the upper end of the typical range, with lower probabilities assigned to 25°C or below if stronger storms develop earlier or to 28°C+ only under unusually clear, dry conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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