Recent forecasts from multiple agencies converge on a daily maximum of 23–25°C in Mexico City on June 26, with light showers or increasing cloud cover expected to develop by afternoon. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s high-altitude subtropical highland climate features strong diurnal heating followed by convective rainfall that frequently caps temperatures during the early rainy season. Model runs show modest uncertainty in the precise peak, driven by differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; clearer morning conditions favor the 25°C bin while earlier or heavier convection supports 23–24°C. Historical late-June averages near 24–25°C provide context, yet the current pattern of overnight lows near 12°C and modest north-easterly flow keeps extremes unlikely, leaving the tightly bunched market prices reflective of this narrow, forecast-dependent range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 26?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 26?
26°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$46,314 Vol.
$46,314 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$46,314 Vol.
$46,314 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
18°C or below
$841 Vol.
No
19°C
$996 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,257 Vol.
No
21°C
$11,731 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,492 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,594 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,551 Vol.
No
25°C
$9,705 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,295 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$3,703 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$2,149 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple agencies converge on a daily maximum of 23–25°C in Mexico City on June 26, with light showers or increasing cloud cover expected to develop by afternoon. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s high-altitude subtropical highland climate features strong diurnal heating followed by convective rainfall that frequently caps temperatures during the early rainy season. Model runs show modest uncertainty in the precise peak, driven by differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; clearer morning conditions favor the 25°C bin while earlier or heavier convection supports 23–24°C. Historical late-June averages near 24–25°C provide context, yet the current pattern of overnight lows near 12°C and modest north-easterly flow keeps extremes unlikely, leaving the tightly bunched market prices reflective of this narrow, forecast-dependent range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$46,314End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple agencies converge on a daily maximum of 23–25°C in Mexico City on June 26, with light showers or increasing cloud cover expected to develop by afternoon. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s high-altitude subtropical highland climate features strong diurnal heating followed by convective rainfall that frequently caps temperatures during the early rainy season. Model runs show modest uncertainty in the precise peak, driven by differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; clearer morning conditions favor the 25°C bin while earlier or heavier convection supports 23–24°C. Historical late-June averages near 24–25°C provide context, yet the current pattern of overnight lows near 12°C and modest north-easterly flow keeps extremes unlikely, leaving the tightly bunched market prices reflective of this narrow, forecast-dependent range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46,314End Date
Jun 26, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from multiple agencies converge on a daily maximum of 23–25°C in Mexico City on June 26, with light showers or increasing cloud cover expected to develop by afternoon. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s high-altitude subtropical highland climate features strong diurnal heating followed by convective rainfall that frequently caps temperatures during the early rainy season. Model runs show modest uncertainty in the precise peak, driven by differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; clearer morning conditions favor the 25°C bin while earlier or heavier convection supports 23–24°C. Historical late-June averages near 24–25°C provide context, yet the current pattern of overnight lows near 12°C and modest north-easterly flow keeps extremes unlikely, leaving the tightly bunched market prices reflective of this narrow, forecast-dependent range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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