Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport, the market's resolution source, recorded Mexico City's highest temperature on May 10 exceeding 25°C, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting daytime highs of 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers, consistent with early May climatology at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where average maximums reach 26–27°C and rarely dip below 23°C. Recent heat lingering from April's record warmth supported peak heating, despite minor cooling risks from clouds. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include a data audit revealing station malfunction or measurement revision below 25°C, pending SMN verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 10?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 10?
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$28,810 Vol.
$28,810 Vol.
May 10, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
Yes
25°C or higher 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$28,810 Vol.
$28,810 Vol.
May 10, 2026
15°C or below
$908 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,359 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,110 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,083 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,253 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,142 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,261 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,736 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,584 Vol.
No
24°C
$7,812 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$6,561 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport, the market's resolution source, recorded Mexico City's highest temperature on May 10 exceeding 25°C, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting daytime highs of 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers, consistent with early May climatology at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where average maximums reach 26–27°C and rarely dip below 23°C. Recent heat lingering from April's record warmth supported peak heating, despite minor cooling risks from clouds. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include a data audit revealing station malfunction or measurement revision below 25°C, pending SMN verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 8, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volume
$28,810End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:24 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport, the market's resolution source, recorded Mexico City's highest temperature on May 10 exceeding 25°C, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting daytime highs of 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers, consistent with early May climatology at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where average maximums reach 26–27°C and rarely dip below 23°C. Recent heat lingering from April's record warmth supported peak heating, despite minor cooling risks from clouds. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include a data audit revealing station malfunction or measurement revision below 25°C, pending SMN verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,810End Date
May 10, 2026Market Opened
May 8, 2026, 12:24 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport, the market's resolution source, recorded Mexico City's highest temperature on May 10 exceeding 25°C, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts predicting daytime highs of 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers, consistent with early May climatology at the city's 2,240-meter elevation where average maximums reach 26–27°C and rarely dip below 23°C. Recent heat lingering from April's record warmth supported peak heating, despite minor cooling risks from clouds. Realistic challenges, though improbable post-observation, include a data audit revealing station malfunction or measurement revision below 25°C, pending SMN verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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