Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daytime high of 24–27°C in Mexico City on May 24, aligning with the late-May climatological average of 25–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, moderate solar heating at the city's high elevation, and minimal cloud cover typical of the dry season. This drives the market-implied 100% probability for 23°C or higher, as regional data show limited day-to-day variability that rarely drops maxima below the threshold. Only an unexpected surge in cloud cover or a sharp, unseasonal cold front could realistically push the high below that level before official resolution by CONAGUA measurements at the Tacubaya station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 24?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 24?
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$10,113 Vol.
$10,113 Vol.
May 24, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
Yes
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$10,113 Vol.
$10,113 Vol.
May 24, 2026
13°C or below
$225 Vol.
No
14°C
$225 Vol.
No
15°C
$288 Vol.
No
16°C
$394 Vol.
No
17°C
$391 Vol.
No
18°C
$402 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,286 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,155 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,202 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,997 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$1,548 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daytime high of 24–27°C in Mexico City on May 24, aligning with the late-May climatological average of 25–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, moderate solar heating at the city's high elevation, and minimal cloud cover typical of the dry season. This drives the market-implied 100% probability for 23°C or higher, as regional data show limited day-to-day variability that rarely drops maxima below the threshold. Only an unexpected surge in cloud cover or a sharp, unseasonal cold front could realistically push the high below that level before official resolution by CONAGUA measurements at the Tacubaya station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 22, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volume
$10,113End Date
May 24, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 12:43 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daytime high of 24–27°C in Mexico City on May 24, aligning with the late-May climatological average of 25–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, moderate solar heating at the city's high elevation, and minimal cloud cover typical of the dry season. This drives the market-implied 100% probability for 23°C or higher, as regional data show limited day-to-day variability that rarely drops maxima below the threshold. Only an unexpected surge in cloud cover or a sharp, unseasonal cold front could realistically push the high below that level before official resolution by CONAGUA measurements at the Tacubaya station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,113End Date
May 24, 2026Market Opened
May 22, 2026, 12:43 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daytime high of 24–27°C in Mexico City on May 24, aligning with the late-May climatological average of 25–27°C under stable high-pressure patterns, moderate solar heating at the city's high elevation, and minimal cloud cover typical of the dry season. This drives the market-implied 100% probability for 23°C or higher, as regional data show limited day-to-day variability that rarely drops maxima below the threshold. Only an unexpected surge in cloud cover or a sharp, unseasonal cold front could realistically push the high below that level before official resolution by CONAGUA measurements at the Tacubaya station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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