Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast, issued May 9 at 06:00, projects a 27-29°C maximum temperature for Mexico City at Benito Juárez International Airport—the market's resolution station—driving the 100% trader consensus on 24°C or higher. This positioning stems from persistent high-pressure ridging fostering clear skies and intense daytime solar heating, typical of May's climatological peak (historical averages ~26°C) despite the city's 2,240-meter elevation moderating extremes. Recent observational data shows morning temperatures already approaching 24°C under light winds, with NOAA model ensembles confirming low cloud cover. Realistic challenges include afternoon chubascos or granizo reducing insolation, though satellite imagery indicates minimal risk; intraday airport METAR reports will provide final confirmation as heating peaks mid-afternoon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 9?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 9?
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$60,441 Vol.
$60,441 Vol.
May 9, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
Yes
24°C or higher 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$60,441 Vol.
$60,441 Vol.
May 9, 2026
14°C or below
$6,807 Vol.
No
15°C
$4,732 Vol.
No
16°C
$4,306 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,375 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,724 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,372 Vol.
No
20°C
$504 Vol.
No
21°C
$15,759 Vol.
No
22°C
$5,451 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,862 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$10,549 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast, issued May 9 at 06:00, projects a 27-29°C maximum temperature for Mexico City at Benito Juárez International Airport—the market's resolution station—driving the 100% trader consensus on 24°C or higher. This positioning stems from persistent high-pressure ridging fostering clear skies and intense daytime solar heating, typical of May's climatological peak (historical averages ~26°C) despite the city's 2,240-meter elevation moderating extremes. Recent observational data shows morning temperatures already approaching 24°C under light winds, with NOAA model ensembles confirming low cloud cover. Realistic challenges include afternoon chubascos or granizo reducing insolation, though satellite imagery indicates minimal risk; intraday airport METAR reports will provide final confirmation as heating peaks mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$60,441End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast, issued May 9 at 06:00, projects a 27-29°C maximum temperature for Mexico City at Benito Juárez International Airport—the market's resolution station—driving the 100% trader consensus on 24°C or higher. This positioning stems from persistent high-pressure ridging fostering clear skies and intense daytime solar heating, typical of May's climatological peak (historical averages ~26°C) despite the city's 2,240-meter elevation moderating extremes. Recent observational data shows morning temperatures already approaching 24°C under light winds, with NOAA model ensembles confirming low cloud cover. Realistic challenges include afternoon chubascos or granizo reducing insolation, though satellite imagery indicates minimal risk; intraday airport METAR reports will provide final confirmation as heating peaks mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$60,441End Date
May 9, 2026Market Opened
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast, issued May 9 at 06:00, projects a 27-29°C maximum temperature for Mexico City at Benito Juárez International Airport—the market's resolution station—driving the 100% trader consensus on 24°C or higher. This positioning stems from persistent high-pressure ridging fostering clear skies and intense daytime solar heating, typical of May's climatological peak (historical averages ~26°C) despite the city's 2,240-meter elevation moderating extremes. Recent observational data shows morning temperatures already approaching 24°C under light winds, with NOAA model ensembles confirming low cloud cover. Realistic challenges include afternoon chubascos or granizo reducing insolation, though satellite imagery indicates minimal risk; intraday airport METAR reports will provide final confirmation as heating peaks mid-afternoon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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