National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm a high temperature of 81°F on April 16, 2026, recorded via hourly METAR reports peaking around 12-3 PM local time under partly cloudy skies and persistent easterly winds of 10-15 mph from a dominant high-pressure ridge to the north. This positioning aligns with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 80-81°F, below the climatological April normal of 84°F due to cooling onshore flow suppressing daytime heating. Forecast models from NOAA had anticipated this modest warmth amid sea breeze influences, with no significant deviations observed. Realistic challenges would require rare NWS data revisions in the final climatological report (CLI), though preliminary records show strong alignment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on April 16?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 16?
80-81°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$109,027 Vol.
$109,027 Vol.
Apr 16, 2026
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$109,027 Vol.
$109,027 Vol.
Apr 16, 2026
67°F or below
$3,040 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$1,292 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$1,637 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$3,031 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$7,170 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$6,822 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$12,030 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$29,046 Vol.
Yes
82-83°F
$20,268 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$12,513 Vol.
No
86°F or higher
$12,177 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm a high temperature of 81°F on April 16, 2026, recorded via hourly METAR reports peaking around 12-3 PM local time under partly cloudy skies and persistent easterly winds of 10-15 mph from a dominant high-pressure ridge to the north. This positioning aligns with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 80-81°F, below the climatological April normal of 84°F due to cooling onshore flow suppressing daytime heating. Forecast models from NOAA had anticipated this modest warmth amid sea breeze influences, with no significant deviations observed. Realistic challenges would require rare NWS data revisions in the final climatological report (CLI), though preliminary records show strong alignment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$109,027End Date
Apr 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm a high temperature of 81°F on April 16, 2026, recorded via hourly METAR reports peaking around 12-3 PM local time under partly cloudy skies and persistent easterly winds of 10-15 mph from a dominant high-pressure ridge to the north. This positioning aligns with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 80-81°F, below the climatological April normal of 84°F due to cooling onshore flow suppressing daytime heating. Forecast models from NOAA had anticipated this modest warmth amid sea breeze influences, with no significant deviations observed. Realistic challenges would require rare NWS data revisions in the final climatological report (CLI), though preliminary records show strong alignment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$109,027End Date
Apr 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm a high temperature of 81°F on April 16, 2026, recorded via hourly METAR reports peaking around 12-3 PM local time under partly cloudy skies and persistent easterly winds of 10-15 mph from a dominant high-pressure ridge to the north. This positioning aligns with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 80-81°F, below the climatological April normal of 84°F due to cooling onshore flow suppressing daytime heating. Forecast models from NOAA had anticipated this modest warmth amid sea breeze influences, with no significant deviations observed. Realistic challenges would require rare NWS data revisions in the final climatological report (CLI), though preliminary records show strong alignment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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