National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 92°F for Miami on July 20, with mostly sunny skies and only a 20 percent chance of afternoon thunderstorms under a subtropical high-pressure regime. This aligns with July climatology where average highs reach 90–91°F, though recent days have seen peaks of 93–94°F. Sea-breeze circulation and typical Gulf moisture limit significant cooling or intensification, keeping the distribution centered on the low-90s range. Trader positioning reflects this stable pattern, with limited upside risk from atypical ridging or dry-air intrusions that could push readings higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on July 20?
Highest temperature in Miami on July 20?
92-93°F 51%
90-91°F 31%
94-95°F 14%
88-89°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Jul 20, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
31%
92-93°F
51%
94-95°F
14%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 51%
90-91°F 31%
94-95°F 14%
88-89°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Jul 20, 2026
81°F or below
$218 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$267 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$140 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$141 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$134 Vol.
6%
90-91°F
$238 Vol.
31%
92-93°F
$499 Vol.
51%
94-95°F
$355 Vol.
14%
96-97°F
$214 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$191 Vol.
1%
100°F or higher
$189 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 92°F for Miami on July 20, with mostly sunny skies and only a 20 percent chance of afternoon thunderstorms under a subtropical high-pressure regime. This aligns with July climatology where average highs reach 90–91°F, though recent days have seen peaks of 93–94°F. Sea-breeze circulation and typical Gulf moisture limit significant cooling or intensification, keeping the distribution centered on the low-90s range. Trader positioning reflects this stable pattern, with limited upside risk from atypical ridging or dry-air intrusions that could push readings higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,587End Date
Jul 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 92°F for Miami on July 20, with mostly sunny skies and only a 20 percent chance of afternoon thunderstorms under a subtropical high-pressure regime. This aligns with July climatology where average highs reach 90–91°F, though recent days have seen peaks of 93–94°F. Sea-breeze circulation and typical Gulf moisture limit significant cooling or intensification, keeping the distribution centered on the low-90s range. Trader positioning reflects this stable pattern, with limited upside risk from atypical ridging or dry-air intrusions that could push readings higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,587End Date
Jul 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 18, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high near 92°F for Miami on July 20, with mostly sunny skies and only a 20 percent chance of afternoon thunderstorms under a subtropical high-pressure regime. This aligns with July climatology where average highs reach 90–91°F, though recent days have seen peaks of 93–94°F. Sea-breeze circulation and typical Gulf moisture limit significant cooling or intensification, keeping the distribution centered on the low-90s range. Trader positioning reflects this stable pattern, with limited upside risk from atypical ridging or dry-air intrusions that could push readings higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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