Recent official and ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models center Chongqing's July 19 high near 35–36°C, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports elevated temperatures typical of the city's July climatology (historical daily maxima often 32–37°C), while variable cloud cover, light rain chances, and southerly flow on the 18–19th introduce modest cooling that differentiates the leading bins from hotter or cooler alternatives. Traders weigh these short-term model runs against the ongoing regional heatwave that produced a 40°C reading earlier in July, creating the observed spread across 34–37°C. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 19?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 19?
35°C 80%
36°C 17%
37°C 1.4%
38°C <1%
$43,797 Vol.
$43,797 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
80%
36°C
17%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 80%
36°C 17%
37°C 1.4%
38°C <1%
$43,797 Vol.
$43,797 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
29°C or below
$1,209 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,430 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,963 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$4,247 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,329 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$6,133 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,679 Vol.
80%
36°C
$2,278 Vol.
17%
37°C
$3,176 Vol.
1%
38°C
$5,247 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$10,113 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models center Chongqing's July 19 high near 35–36°C, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports elevated temperatures typical of the city's July climatology (historical daily maxima often 32–37°C), while variable cloud cover, light rain chances, and southerly flow on the 18–19th introduce modest cooling that differentiates the leading bins from hotter or cooler alternatives. Traders weigh these short-term model runs against the ongoing regional heatwave that produced a 40°C reading earlier in July, creating the observed spread across 34–37°C. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$43,797End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models center Chongqing's July 19 high near 35–36°C, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports elevated temperatures typical of the city's July climatology (historical daily maxima often 32–37°C), while variable cloud cover, light rain chances, and southerly flow on the 18–19th introduce modest cooling that differentiates the leading bins from hotter or cooler alternatives. Traders weigh these short-term model runs against the ongoing regional heatwave that produced a 40°C reading earlier in July, creating the observed spread across 34–37°C. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$43,797End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official and ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models center Chongqing's July 19 high near 35–36°C, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure supports elevated temperatures typical of the city's July climatology (historical daily maxima often 32–37°C), while variable cloud cover, light rain chances, and southerly flow on the 18–19th introduce modest cooling that differentiates the leading bins from hotter or cooler alternatives. Traders weigh these short-term model runs against the ongoing regional heatwave that produced a 40°C reading earlier in July, creating the observed spread across 34–37°C. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely sharpen resolution probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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