**Recent forecasts from numerical weather models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a daily maximum near 13°C for Buenos Aires on July 19, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 13–15°C (combined ~80% implied probability).** Mid-July places the region in the heart of Southern Hemisphere winter, when climatological average highs hover around 14–15°C under the influence of cooler maritime polar air masses and frequent frontal passages. A warming spell earlier in the week, driven by northwesterly flow that pushed temperatures toward 22–24°C on July 17, has given way to a southward surge of cooler air, lowering expected maxima and tightening the distribution around 13–15°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on official station readings that capture urban heat-island effects and precise timing of any residual cloud cover or light precipitation. Traders are pricing in this post-frontal cooling while assigning low probability to extremes, reflecting both the narrow forecast range and historical July variability rarely exceeding 18–19°C or dropping below 11°C on any single day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 19?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 19?
13°C 59%
12°C 24%
14°C 16%
15°C 4%
NEW
$40,448 Vol.
NEW
$40,448 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
24%
13°C
59%
14°C
16%
15°C
4%
16°C
2%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 59%
12°C 24%
14°C 16%
15°C 4%
NEW
$40,448 Vol.
NEW
$40,448 Vol.
Jul 19, 2026
9°C or below
$5,052 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$5,994 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$10,886 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$3,347 Vol.
24%
13°C
$4,481 Vol.
59%
14°C
$3,070 Vol.
16%
15°C
$1,354 Vol.
4%
16°C
$1,462 Vol.
2%
17°C
$812 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,151 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$1,839 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from numerical weather models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a daily maximum near 13°C for Buenos Aires on July 19, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 13–15°C (combined ~80% implied probability).** Mid-July places the region in the heart of Southern Hemisphere winter, when climatological average highs hover around 14–15°C under the influence of cooler maritime polar air masses and frequent frontal passages. A warming spell earlier in the week, driven by northwesterly flow that pushed temperatures toward 22–24°C on July 17, has given way to a southward surge of cooler air, lowering expected maxima and tightening the distribution around 13–15°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on official station readings that capture urban heat-island effects and precise timing of any residual cloud cover or light precipitation. Traders are pricing in this post-frontal cooling while assigning low probability to extremes, reflecting both the narrow forecast range and historical July variability rarely exceeding 18–19°C or dropping below 11°C on any single day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$40,448End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from numerical weather models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a daily maximum near 13°C for Buenos Aires on July 19, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 13–15°C (combined ~80% implied probability).** Mid-July places the region in the heart of Southern Hemisphere winter, when climatological average highs hover around 14–15°C under the influence of cooler maritime polar air masses and frequent frontal passages. A warming spell earlier in the week, driven by northwesterly flow that pushed temperatures toward 22–24°C on July 17, has given way to a southward surge of cooler air, lowering expected maxima and tightening the distribution around 13–15°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on official station readings that capture urban heat-island effects and precise timing of any residual cloud cover or light precipitation. Traders are pricing in this post-frontal cooling while assigning low probability to extremes, reflecting both the narrow forecast range and historical July variability rarely exceeding 18–19°C or dropping below 11°C on any single day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40,448End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from numerical weather models and the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a daily maximum near 13°C for Buenos Aires on July 19, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes clustered at 13–15°C (combined ~80% implied probability).** Mid-July places the region in the heart of Southern Hemisphere winter, when climatological average highs hover around 14–15°C under the influence of cooler maritime polar air masses and frequent frontal passages. A warming spell earlier in the week, driven by northwesterly flow that pushed temperatures toward 22–24°C on July 17, has given way to a southward surge of cooler air, lowering expected maxima and tightening the distribution around 13–15°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with resolution hinging on official station readings that capture urban heat-island effects and precise timing of any residual cloud cover or light precipitation. Traders are pricing in this post-frontal cooling while assigning low probability to extremes, reflecting both the narrow forecast range and historical July variability rarely exceeding 18–19°C or dropping below 11°C on any single day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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