Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration show Wuhan under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with daytime highs expected near 30–32°C on July 19 amid moderate humidity and light southerly flow. Ensemble runs indicate limited day-to-day variability due to stable steering patterns, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages for the city hover around 32°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest probabilities to 30–32°C outcomes while discounting extremes above 34°C. Updated model guidance and official observations through July 18 will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 19?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 19?
32°C 36%
31°C 28%
33°C 18%
30°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 19, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
13%
31°C
28%
32°C
36%
33°C
18%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 36%
31°C 28%
33°C 18%
30°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 19, 2026
28°C or below
$332 Vol.
1%
29°C
$377 Vol.
3%
30°C
$166 Vol.
13%
31°C
$213 Vol.
28%
32°C
$111 Vol.
36%
33°C
$629 Vol.
18%
34°C
$242 Vol.
3%
35°C
$70 Vol.
1%
36°C
$74 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$78 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$201 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration show Wuhan under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with daytime highs expected near 30–32°C on July 19 amid moderate humidity and light southerly flow. Ensemble runs indicate limited day-to-day variability due to stable steering patterns, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages for the city hover around 32°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest probabilities to 30–32°C outcomes while discounting extremes above 34°C. Updated model guidance and official observations through July 18 will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,493End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration show Wuhan under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with daytime highs expected near 30–32°C on July 19 amid moderate humidity and light southerly flow. Ensemble runs indicate limited day-to-day variability due to stable steering patterns, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages for the city hover around 32°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest probabilities to 30–32°C outcomes while discounting extremes above 34°C. Updated model guidance and official observations through July 18 will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,493End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration show Wuhan under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge, with daytime highs expected near 30–32°C on July 19 amid moderate humidity and light southerly flow. Ensemble runs indicate limited day-to-day variability due to stable steering patterns, though small shifts in cloud cover or wind could tip the peak by 1–2°C. Historical July averages for the city hover around 32°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest probabilities to 30–32°C outcomes while discounting extremes above 34°C. Updated model guidance and official observations through July 18 will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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