Current forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles for Ankara on July 19 project a daily maximum near 32–34°C under dominant high pressure, clear skies, and strong July solar insolation over the Anatolian plateau. This keeps trader consensus tightly split between 32°C and 33°C, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing, light northeasterly flow, or afternoon cloud development can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, while the absence of significant moisture or frontal systems supports the narrow range; latest model runs show minimal spread, leaving resolution dependent on final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on July 19?
33°C 51%
32°C 41%
34°C 9%
31°C 2.6%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
41%
33°C
51%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 51%
32°C 41%
34°C 9%
31°C 2.6%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
41%
33°C
51%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensembles for Ankara on July 19 project a daily maximum near 32–34°C under dominant high pressure, clear skies, and strong July solar insolation over the Anatolian plateau. This keeps trader consensus tightly split between 32°C and 33°C, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing, light northeasterly flow, or afternoon cloud development can shift the peak by 1°C. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, while the absence of significant moisture or frontal systems supports the narrow range; latest model runs show minimal spread, leaving resolution dependent on final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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