Persistent high pressure associated with an Omega blocking pattern over the Mediterranean has sustained Italy’s third heatwave of 2026, promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime solar heating across the Po Valley. Official guidance from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and Italian meteorological services shows Milan’s maximum temperature on July 19 centered near 32–33 °C, with ensemble spread narrowing around this range and limited potential for 35 °C or higher under current steering flow. Recent model runs have trended slightly cooler than mid-week peaks near 37 °C, supporting the market’s concentration on the 31–32 °C brackets as the most probable outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments from local observing networks will provide the final data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on July 19?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 19?
31°C 42%
32°C 32%
33°C 15%
30°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 19, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
13%
31°C
42%
32°C
32%
33°C
15%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 42%
32°C 32%
33°C 15%
30°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 19, 2026
28°C or below
$312 Vol.
1%
29°C
$318 Vol.
2%
30°C
$401 Vol.
13%
31°C
$503 Vol.
42%
32°C
$224 Vol.
32%
33°C
$265 Vol.
15%
34°C
$220 Vol.
2%
35°C
$223 Vol.
1%
36°C
$193 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$188 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure associated with an Omega blocking pattern over the Mediterranean has sustained Italy’s third heatwave of 2026, promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime solar heating across the Po Valley. Official guidance from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and Italian meteorological services shows Milan’s maximum temperature on July 19 centered near 32–33 °C, with ensemble spread narrowing around this range and limited potential for 35 °C or higher under current steering flow. Recent model runs have trended slightly cooler than mid-week peaks near 37 °C, supporting the market’s concentration on the 31–32 °C brackets as the most probable outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments from local observing networks will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$3,012End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure associated with an Omega blocking pattern over the Mediterranean has sustained Italy’s third heatwave of 2026, promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime solar heating across the Po Valley. Official guidance from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and Italian meteorological services shows Milan’s maximum temperature on July 19 centered near 32–33 °C, with ensemble spread narrowing around this range and limited potential for 35 °C or higher under current steering flow. Recent model runs have trended slightly cooler than mid-week peaks near 37 °C, supporting the market’s concentration on the 31–32 °C brackets as the most probable outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments from local observing networks will provide the final data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,012End Date
Jul 19, 2026Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure associated with an Omega blocking pattern over the Mediterranean has sustained Italy’s third heatwave of 2026, promoting subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime solar heating across the Po Valley. Official guidance from ECMWF, GFS ensembles, and Italian meteorological services shows Milan’s maximum temperature on July 19 centered near 32–33 °C, with ensemble spread narrowing around this range and limited potential for 35 °C or higher under current steering flow. Recent model runs have trended slightly cooler than mid-week peaks near 37 °C, supporting the market’s concentration on the 31–32 °C brackets as the most probable outcomes. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments from local observing networks will provide the final data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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