Market-implied odds place the highest probability on a 32°C peak for Singapore on July 17, followed closely by 31°C, reflecting short-range forecast consensus from regional models showing typical July equatorial conditions with afternoon highs near the long-term average of 31–32°C. Persistent high humidity, urban heat-island effects, and light winds favor modest warming, while scattered convection and possible cloud cover introduce uncertainty in exact maxima. Traders weigh historical July extremes—rarely below 30°C or above 34°C—against evolving guidance on steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures. Updated model runs and official Meteorological Service Singapore briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as resolution criteria focus on the single highest recorded value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on July 17?
Highest temperature in Singapore on July 17?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$67,387 Vol.
$67,387 Vol.
Jul 17, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$67,387 Vol.
$67,387 Vol.
Jul 17, 2026
25°C or below
$227 Vol.
No
26°C
$221 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,021 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,077 Vol.
No
29°C
$11,324 Vol.
No
30°C
$18,224 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$12,128 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,687 Vol.
No
33°C
$8,352 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,703 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$422 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds place the highest probability on a 32°C peak for Singapore on July 17, followed closely by 31°C, reflecting short-range forecast consensus from regional models showing typical July equatorial conditions with afternoon highs near the long-term average of 31–32°C. Persistent high humidity, urban heat-island effects, and light winds favor modest warming, while scattered convection and possible cloud cover introduce uncertainty in exact maxima. Traders weigh historical July extremes—rarely below 30°C or above 34°C—against evolving guidance on steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures. Updated model runs and official Meteorological Service Singapore briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as resolution criteria focus on the single highest recorded value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$67,387End Date
Jul 17, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds place the highest probability on a 32°C peak for Singapore on July 17, followed closely by 31°C, reflecting short-range forecast consensus from regional models showing typical July equatorial conditions with afternoon highs near the long-term average of 31–32°C. Persistent high humidity, urban heat-island effects, and light winds favor modest warming, while scattered convection and possible cloud cover introduce uncertainty in exact maxima. Traders weigh historical July extremes—rarely below 30°C or above 34°C—against evolving guidance on steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures. Updated model runs and official Meteorological Service Singapore briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as resolution criteria focus on the single highest recorded value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$67,387End Date
Jul 17, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Market-implied odds place the highest probability on a 32°C peak for Singapore on July 17, followed closely by 31°C, reflecting short-range forecast consensus from regional models showing typical July equatorial conditions with afternoon highs near the long-term average of 31–32°C. Persistent high humidity, urban heat-island effects, and light winds favor modest warming, while scattered convection and possible cloud cover introduce uncertainty in exact maxima. Traders weigh historical July extremes—rarely below 30°C or above 34°C—against evolving guidance on steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures. Updated model runs and official Meteorological Service Singapore briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range as resolution criteria focus on the single highest recorded value.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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