Recent forecast guidance for Wuhan highlights mid-July East Asian monsoon moisture and convective activity as the dominant influences on July 18 maximum temperatures, with model consensus pointing to afternoon thunderstorms or cloud cover that can cap daytime highs by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–33 °C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from storm timing and intensity keeps the 29–32 °C outcomes tightly bunched in trader sentiment. Clearer skies or delayed precipitation could push readings toward 33 °C, while stronger convective development favors the lower end of the distribution. Updated regional model runs and official meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 18?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 18?
31°C 36%
30°C 30%
29°C 17%
32°C 14%
NEW
$10,766 Vol.
NEW
$10,766 Vol.
Jul 18, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
17%
30°C
30%
31°C
36%
32°C
14%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 36%
30°C 30%
29°C 17%
32°C 14%
NEW
$10,766 Vol.
NEW
$10,766 Vol.
Jul 18, 2026
25°C or below
$565 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$575 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$244 Vol.
1%
28°C
$456 Vol.
2%
29°C
$623 Vol.
17%
30°C
$2,008 Vol.
30%
31°C
$3,547 Vol.
36%
32°C
$1,277 Vol.
14%
33°C
$777 Vol.
4%
34°C
$380 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$315 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Wuhan highlights mid-July East Asian monsoon moisture and convective activity as the dominant influences on July 18 maximum temperatures, with model consensus pointing to afternoon thunderstorms or cloud cover that can cap daytime highs by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–33 °C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from storm timing and intensity keeps the 29–32 °C outcomes tightly bunched in trader sentiment. Clearer skies or delayed precipitation could push readings toward 33 °C, while stronger convective development favors the lower end of the distribution. Updated regional model runs and official meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$10,766End Date
Jul 18, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Wuhan highlights mid-July East Asian monsoon moisture and convective activity as the dominant influences on July 18 maximum temperatures, with model consensus pointing to afternoon thunderstorms or cloud cover that can cap daytime highs by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–33 °C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from storm timing and intensity keeps the 29–32 °C outcomes tightly bunched in trader sentiment. Clearer skies or delayed precipitation could push readings toward 33 °C, while stronger convective development favors the lower end of the distribution. Updated regional model runs and official meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,766End Date
Jul 18, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance for Wuhan highlights mid-July East Asian monsoon moisture and convective activity as the dominant influences on July 18 maximum temperatures, with model consensus pointing to afternoon thunderstorms or cloud cover that can cap daytime highs by 1–2 °C. Historical July averages near 32–33 °C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from storm timing and intensity keeps the 29–32 °C outcomes tightly bunched in trader sentiment. Clearer skies or delayed precipitation could push readings toward 33 °C, while stronger convective development favors the lower end of the distribution. Updated regional model runs and official meteorological briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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