Forecasts from Environment Canada and numerical models indicate sunny conditions over Toronto on July 16, 2026, with daytime highs centered near 30–31°C amid moderate humidity and light winds. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 31°C and 32°C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, or the precise timing of a weak trough can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Recent heat-wave conditions earlier in July provide climatological context, yet current guidance shows no strong warm advection to push readings into the mid-30s. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key variables that could refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Toronto on July 16?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 16?
31°C 35%
30°C 25%
32°C 20%
29°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 16, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
13%
30°C
25%
31°C
35%
32°C
20%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
31°C 35%
30°C 25%
32°C 20%
29°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Jul 16, 2026
27°C or below
$48 Vol.
1%
28°C
$137 Vol.
5%
29°C
$316 Vol.
13%
30°C
$626 Vol.
25%
31°C
$3,078 Vol.
35%
32°C
$585 Vol.
20%
33°C
$103 Vol.
5%
34°C
$257 Vol.
1%
35°C
$97 Vol.
1%
36°C
$200 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$160 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from Environment Canada and numerical models indicate sunny conditions over Toronto on July 16, 2026, with daytime highs centered near 30–31°C amid moderate humidity and light winds. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 31°C and 32°C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, or the precise timing of a weak trough can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Recent heat-wave conditions earlier in July provide climatological context, yet current guidance shows no strong warm advection to push readings into the mid-30s. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key variables that could refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 14, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$5,607End Date
Jul 16, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from Environment Canada and numerical models indicate sunny conditions over Toronto on July 16, 2026, with daytime highs centered near 30–31°C amid moderate humidity and light winds. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 31°C and 32°C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, or the precise timing of a weak trough can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Recent heat-wave conditions earlier in July provide climatological context, yet current guidance shows no strong warm advection to push readings into the mid-30s. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key variables that could refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,607End Date
Jul 16, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from Environment Canada and numerical models indicate sunny conditions over Toronto on July 16, 2026, with daytime highs centered near 30–31°C amid moderate humidity and light winds. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 31°C and 32°C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, or the precise timing of a weak trough can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Recent heat-wave conditions earlier in July provide climatological context, yet current guidance shows no strong warm advection to push readings into the mid-30s. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key variables that could refine probabilities before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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