Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs point to increased cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered thunderstorms as the main drivers keeping Dallas high-temperature odds clustered around 86–89°F for July 14. These conditions limit surface heating and solar insolation relative to typical July climatology of 95–98°F, with ensemble guidance showing only modest afternoon clearing. Forecasters note that any reduction in storm coverage or earlier dissipation could allow temperatures to edge toward 90–91°F, while persistent moisture and convection would favor the lower bins. Updated model cycles and National Weather Service briefings through tonight remain the key near-term catalysts for further shifts in trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on July 14?
Highest temperature in Dallas on July 14?
90-91°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$51,851 Vol.
$51,851 Vol.
Jul 14, 2026
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
Yes
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
90-91°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$51,851 Vol.
$51,851 Vol.
Jul 14, 2026
75°F or below
$187 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$284 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$1,227 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$2,641 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$4,138 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$4,342 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$6,768 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$5,132 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$11,803 Vol.
Yes
92-93°F
$8,768 Vol.
No
94°F or higher
$6,560 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs point to increased cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered thunderstorms as the main drivers keeping Dallas high-temperature odds clustered around 86–89°F for July 14. These conditions limit surface heating and solar insolation relative to typical July climatology of 95–98°F, with ensemble guidance showing only modest afternoon clearing. Forecasters note that any reduction in storm coverage or earlier dissipation could allow temperatures to edge toward 90–91°F, while persistent moisture and convection would favor the lower bins. Updated model cycles and National Weather Service briefings through tonight remain the key near-term catalysts for further shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$51,851End Date
Jul 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs point to increased cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered thunderstorms as the main drivers keeping Dallas high-temperature odds clustered around 86–89°F for July 14. These conditions limit surface heating and solar insolation relative to typical July climatology of 95–98°F, with ensemble guidance showing only modest afternoon clearing. Forecasters note that any reduction in storm coverage or earlier dissipation could allow temperatures to edge toward 90–91°F, while persistent moisture and convection would favor the lower bins. Updated model cycles and National Weather Service briefings through tonight remain the key near-term catalysts for further shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51,851End Date
Jul 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 12, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs point to increased cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered thunderstorms as the main drivers keeping Dallas high-temperature odds clustered around 86–89°F for July 14. These conditions limit surface heating and solar insolation relative to typical July climatology of 95–98°F, with ensemble guidance showing only modest afternoon clearing. Forecasters note that any reduction in storm coverage or earlier dissipation could allow temperatures to edge toward 90–91°F, while persistent moisture and convection would favor the lower bins. Updated model cycles and National Weather Service briefings through tonight remain the key near-term catalysts for further shifts in trader positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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