**Recent National Weather Service guidance and private model consensus indicate a return to hot, mostly sunny conditions across northeast Colorado for July 25, 2026, following mid-week thunderstorm activity, positioning the highest temperature near 98–101 °F as the leading outcomes.** Persistent high pressure and dry adiabatic warming from downslope flow off the Rockies, combined with strong July insolation at Denver’s 5,280-foot elevation, favor rapid daytime heating under mostly clear skies. Ensemble forecasts show afternoon highs climbing into the upper 90s to low 100s, with limited moisture and light winds reducing evaporative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late-July heat episodes in the Front Range, where daily maxima often exceed 95 °F when synoptic ridging dominates. Market-implied probabilities concentrate in the 98–101 °F bins because current model runs show little spread around this range, though slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by a degree or two. Upcoming NWS updates and 00z/12z model cycles on July 24 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on July 25?
Highest temperature in Denver on July 25?
98-99°F 44%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 19%
102-103°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Jul 25, 2026
89°F or below
2%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
19%
98-99°F
44%
100-101°F
32%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
2%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 44%
100-101°F 32%
96-97°F 19%
102-103°F 8%
NEW
NEW
Jul 25, 2026
89°F or below
$15 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$20 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$69 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$12 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$356 Vol.
19%
98-99°F
$327 Vol.
44%
100-101°F
$3,754 Vol.
32%
102-103°F
$70 Vol.
8%
104-105°F
$41 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$25 Vol.
2%
108°F or higher
$301 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service guidance and private model consensus indicate a return to hot, mostly sunny conditions across northeast Colorado for July 25, 2026, following mid-week thunderstorm activity, positioning the highest temperature near 98–101 °F as the leading outcomes.**
Persistent high pressure and dry adiabatic warming from downslope flow off the Rockies, combined with strong July insolation at Denver’s 5,280-foot elevation, favor rapid daytime heating under mostly clear skies. Ensemble forecasts show afternoon highs climbing into the upper 90s to low 100s, with limited moisture and light winds reducing evaporative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late-July heat episodes in the Front Range, where daily maxima often exceed 95 °F when synoptic ridging dominates. Market-implied probabilities concentrate in the 98–101 °F bins because current model runs show little spread around this range, though slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by a degree or two. Upcoming NWS updates and 00z/12z model cycles on July 24 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$4,969End Date
Jul 25, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service guidance and private model consensus indicate a return to hot, mostly sunny conditions across northeast Colorado for July 25, 2026, following mid-week thunderstorm activity, positioning the highest temperature near 98–101 °F as the leading outcomes.**
Persistent high pressure and dry adiabatic warming from downslope flow off the Rockies, combined with strong July insolation at Denver’s 5,280-foot elevation, favor rapid daytime heating under mostly clear skies. Ensemble forecasts show afternoon highs climbing into the upper 90s to low 100s, with limited moisture and light winds reducing evaporative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late-July heat episodes in the Front Range, where daily maxima often exceed 95 °F when synoptic ridging dominates. Market-implied probabilities concentrate in the 98–101 °F bins because current model runs show little spread around this range, though slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by a degree or two. Upcoming NWS updates and 00z/12z model cycles on July 24 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,969End Date
Jul 25, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent National Weather Service guidance and private model consensus indicate a return to hot, mostly sunny conditions across northeast Colorado for July 25, 2026, following mid-week thunderstorm activity, positioning the highest temperature near 98–101 °F as the leading outcomes.** Persistent high pressure and dry adiabatic warming from downslope flow off the Rockies, combined with strong July insolation at Denver’s 5,280-foot elevation, favor rapid daytime heating under mostly clear skies. Ensemble forecasts show afternoon highs climbing into the upper 90s to low 100s, with limited moisture and light winds reducing evaporative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late-July heat episodes in the Front Range, where daily maxima often exceed 95 °F when synoptic ridging dominates. Market-implied probabilities concentrate in the 98–101 °F bins because current model runs show little spread around this range, though slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by a degree or two. Upcoming NWS updates and 00z/12z model cycles on July 24 will provide the final observational constraints before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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