Recent forecast guidance from ensemble models highlights light rain and widespread cloud cover expected over Qingdao on July 17, suppressing daytime insolation and holding the daily maximum near 24–26 °C amid moderate easterly flow off the Yellow Sea. This coastal marine influence consistently tempers summer peaks relative to inland Shandong sites, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. July climatology averages 27–28 °C, yet the current synoptic pattern favors the lower side of the distribution. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models over the next 48 hours will determine whether any clearing allows readings to reach 28 °C or keeps them capped below 25 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 17?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 17?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$36,387 Vol.
$36,387 Vol.
Jul 17, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$36,387 Vol.
$36,387 Vol.
Jul 17, 2026
20°C or below
$229 Vol.
No
21°C
$345 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,312 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,324 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,889 Vol.
No
25°C
$6,612 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,879 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$3,880 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,971 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,493 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$1,452 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from ensemble models highlights light rain and widespread cloud cover expected over Qingdao on July 17, suppressing daytime insolation and holding the daily maximum near 24–26 °C amid moderate easterly flow off the Yellow Sea. This coastal marine influence consistently tempers summer peaks relative to inland Shandong sites, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. July climatology averages 27–28 °C, yet the current synoptic pattern favors the lower side of the distribution. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models over the next 48 hours will determine whether any clearing allows readings to reach 28 °C or keeps them capped below 25 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$36,387End Date
Jul 17, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from ensemble models highlights light rain and widespread cloud cover expected over Qingdao on July 17, suppressing daytime insolation and holding the daily maximum near 24–26 °C amid moderate easterly flow off the Yellow Sea. This coastal marine influence consistently tempers summer peaks relative to inland Shandong sites, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. July climatology averages 27–28 °C, yet the current synoptic pattern favors the lower side of the distribution. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models over the next 48 hours will determine whether any clearing allows readings to reach 28 °C or keeps them capped below 25 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,387End Date
Jul 17, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecast guidance from ensemble models highlights light rain and widespread cloud cover expected over Qingdao on July 17, suppressing daytime insolation and holding the daily maximum near 24–26 °C amid moderate easterly flow off the Yellow Sea. This coastal marine influence consistently tempers summer peaks relative to inland Shandong sites, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those three outcomes. July climatology averages 27–28 °C, yet the current synoptic pattern favors the lower side of the distribution. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models over the next 48 hours will determine whether any clearing allows readings to reach 28 °C or keeps them capped below 25 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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