Singapore’s Meteorological Service Singapore tracks daily maxima near the 31–33°C climatological July range under prevailing Southwest Monsoon flow, with southeasterly winds and maritime moderation keeping extremes rare. Recent subseasonal guidance highlights warmer-than-average conditions across the western Maritime Continent alongside continued afternoon thundery showers that can suppress peaks through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model consensus therefore centers probabilities on 32°C and 33°C, with smaller shares for 31°C reflecting uncertainty in shower timing and intensity over the next 48 hours. El Niño development adds a modest upward bias to baseline temperatures but does not override local convective variability that traders weigh against official forecast updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on July 19?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$67,946 Vol.
$67,946 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$67,946 Vol.
$67,946 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Singapore’s Meteorological Service Singapore tracks daily maxima near the 31–33°C climatological July range under prevailing Southwest Monsoon flow, with southeasterly winds and maritime moderation keeping extremes rare. Recent subseasonal guidance highlights warmer-than-average conditions across the western Maritime Continent alongside continued afternoon thundery showers that can suppress peaks through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Model consensus therefore centers probabilities on 32°C and 33°C, with smaller shares for 31°C reflecting uncertainty in shower timing and intensity over the next 48 hours. El Niño development adds a modest upward bias to baseline temperatures but does not override local convective variability that traders weigh against official forecast updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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