Trader sentiment for Miami's July 18 low temperature centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling within a persistent warm, humid subtropical maritime air mass, where National Weather Service guidance and AccuWeather outlooks indicate typical overnight lows near 78–82 °F. High dew points and light southeast winds limit heat loss, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms or variable cloud cover can trap longwave radiation and elevate minima or allow clearer intervals for modest cooling. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on convective timing and sea-breeze strength, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 78–81 °F bins with meaningful support for adjacent ranges. Upcoming National Weather Service forecast updates and local observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of overnight measurement at Miami International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on July 18?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 18?
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$16,401 Vol.
$16,401 Vol.
Jul 18, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$16,401 Vol.
$16,401 Vol.
Jul 18, 2026
71°F or below
$791 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,656 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,946 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$872 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$2,801 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$4,852 Vol.
Yes
82-83°F
$1,438 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$667 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$591 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$401 Vol.
No
90°F or higher
$385 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Miami's July 18 low temperature centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling within a persistent warm, humid subtropical maritime air mass, where National Weather Service guidance and AccuWeather outlooks indicate typical overnight lows near 78–82 °F. High dew points and light southeast winds limit heat loss, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms or variable cloud cover can trap longwave radiation and elevate minima or allow clearer intervals for modest cooling. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on convective timing and sea-breeze strength, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 78–81 °F bins with meaningful support for adjacent ranges. Upcoming National Weather Service forecast updates and local observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of overnight measurement at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$16,401End Date
Jul 18, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Miami's July 18 low temperature centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling within a persistent warm, humid subtropical maritime air mass, where National Weather Service guidance and AccuWeather outlooks indicate typical overnight lows near 78–82 °F. High dew points and light southeast winds limit heat loss, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms or variable cloud cover can trap longwave radiation and elevate minima or allow clearer intervals for modest cooling. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on convective timing and sea-breeze strength, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 78–81 °F bins with meaningful support for adjacent ranges. Upcoming National Weather Service forecast updates and local observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of overnight measurement at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,401End Date
Jul 18, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader sentiment for Miami's July 18 low temperature centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiational cooling within a persistent warm, humid subtropical maritime air mass, where National Weather Service guidance and AccuWeather outlooks indicate typical overnight lows near 78–82 °F. High dew points and light southeast winds limit heat loss, while scattered afternoon thunderstorms or variable cloud cover can trap longwave radiation and elevate minima or allow clearer intervals for modest cooling. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on convective timing and sea-breeze strength, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the 78–81 °F bins with meaningful support for adjacent ranges. Upcoming National Weather Service forecast updates and local observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of overnight measurement at Miami International Airport.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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