Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 84-85°F at 44% implied probability for Miami International Airport's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the National Weather Service's latest zone forecast indicating mid-80s highs amid mostly sunny skies from a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear conditions. This aligns with climatological normals around 84°F for mid-April, amplified by a recent warming trend from diminishing easterly winds—recent highs in the lower 80s on April 15-16—and high solar angles enhancing daytime heating. Ensemble forecast models like GFS show limited spread, though sea breeze development could moderate peaks by 2-3°F; updated guidance expected April 16 may refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on April 17?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 17?
84-85°F 47%
82-83°F 19%
86-87°F 19%
80-81°F 11%
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
47%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
5%
90°F or higher
3%
84-85°F 47%
82-83°F 19%
86-87°F 19%
80-81°F 11%
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
47%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
5%
90°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 84-85°F at 44% implied probability for Miami International Airport's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the National Weather Service's latest zone forecast indicating mid-80s highs amid mostly sunny skies from a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear conditions. This aligns with climatological normals around 84°F for mid-April, amplified by a recent warming trend from diminishing easterly winds—recent highs in the lower 80s on April 15-16—and high solar angles enhancing daytime heating. Ensemble forecast models like GFS show limited spread, though sea breeze development could moderate peaks by 2-3°F; updated guidance expected April 16 may refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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