Official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA), as reported by Weather Underground and the National Weather Service, confirm the highest temperature on April 17 reached 84-85°F, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with pre-event National Weather Service short-fuse forecasts projecting daytime peaks near 85°F under a dominant subtropical ridge fostering subsidence, light east-southeast winds around 8-10 knots, and mostly sunny skies that limited cloud cover and enhanced solar heating. April climatological normals sit at 84°F, with model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh showing tight agreement on these conditions amid low humidity and minimal sea-breeze disruption. Realistic challenges would require an improbable post hoc data revision from automated station logs or METARs, as multi-source validations rarely diverge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on April 17?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 17?
84-85°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$109,430 Vol.
$109,430 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$109,430 Vol.
$109,430 Vol.
Apr 17, 2026
71°F or below
$2,092 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$1,657 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$3,075 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$2,315 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$6,837 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$14,704 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$16,548 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$23,879 Vol.
Yes
86-87°F
$17,115 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$6,446 Vol.
No
90°F or higher
$14,762 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA), as reported by Weather Underground and the National Weather Service, confirm the highest temperature on April 17 reached 84-85°F, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with pre-event National Weather Service short-fuse forecasts projecting daytime peaks near 85°F under a dominant subtropical ridge fostering subsidence, light east-southeast winds around 8-10 knots, and mostly sunny skies that limited cloud cover and enhanced solar heating. April climatological normals sit at 84°F, with model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh showing tight agreement on these conditions amid low humidity and minimal sea-breeze disruption. Realistic challenges would require an improbable post hoc data revision from automated station logs or METARs, as multi-source validations rarely diverge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$109,430End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA), as reported by Weather Underground and the National Weather Service, confirm the highest temperature on April 17 reached 84-85°F, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with pre-event National Weather Service short-fuse forecasts projecting daytime peaks near 85°F under a dominant subtropical ridge fostering subsidence, light east-southeast winds around 8-10 knots, and mostly sunny skies that limited cloud cover and enhanced solar heating. April climatological normals sit at 84°F, with model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh showing tight agreement on these conditions amid low humidity and minimal sea-breeze disruption. Realistic challenges would require an improbable post hoc data revision from automated station logs or METARs, as multi-source validations rarely diverge.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$109,430End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Miami International Airport (KMIA), as reported by Weather Underground and the National Weather Service, confirm the highest temperature on April 17 reached 84-85°F, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with pre-event National Weather Service short-fuse forecasts projecting daytime peaks near 85°F under a dominant subtropical ridge fostering subsidence, light east-southeast winds around 8-10 knots, and mostly sunny skies that limited cloud cover and enhanced solar heating. April climatological normals sit at 84°F, with model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh showing tight agreement on these conditions amid low humidity and minimal sea-breeze disruption. Realistic challenges would require an improbable post hoc data revision from automated station logs or METARs, as multi-source validations rarely diverge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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