Official National Weather Service observations from the automated surface observing system at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the highest temperature on April 25, 2026, reached 84-85°F during mid-afternoon hours, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for that outcome as real-money positions reflect the verified data. This aligns with NOAA short-range forecast models anticipating mild conditions under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and sea breeze moderation typical for late April in South Florida, where climatological normals hover around 83°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare ASOS sensor recalibrations or discrepancies in the forthcoming daily climatological report, though consistent hourly readings spanning 75°F overnight to peak daytime values make revisions highly unlikely. Traders await final NWS summary for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on April 25?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 25?
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$74,804 Vol.
$74,804 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$74,804 Vol.
$74,804 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
73°F or below
$1,342 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$2,435 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$3,476 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$5,630 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$8,283 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$10,942 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$14,714 Vol.
Yes
86-87°F
$11,539 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$10,514 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$2,870 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$3,059 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the automated surface observing system at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the highest temperature on April 25, 2026, reached 84-85°F during mid-afternoon hours, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for that outcome as real-money positions reflect the verified data. This aligns with NOAA short-range forecast models anticipating mild conditions under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and sea breeze moderation typical for late April in South Florida, where climatological normals hover around 83°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare ASOS sensor recalibrations or discrepancies in the forthcoming daily climatological report, though consistent hourly readings spanning 75°F overnight to peak daytime values make revisions highly unlikely. Traders await final NWS summary for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$74,804End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the automated surface observing system at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the highest temperature on April 25, 2026, reached 84-85°F during mid-afternoon hours, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for that outcome as real-money positions reflect the verified data. This aligns with NOAA short-range forecast models anticipating mild conditions under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and sea breeze moderation typical for late April in South Florida, where climatological normals hover around 83°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare ASOS sensor recalibrations or discrepancies in the forthcoming daily climatological report, though consistent hourly readings spanning 75°F overnight to peak daytime values make revisions highly unlikely. Traders await final NWS summary for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$74,804End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the automated surface observing system at Miami International Airport (KMIA) confirm the highest temperature on April 25, 2026, reached 84-85°F during mid-afternoon hours, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for that outcome as real-money positions reflect the verified data. This aligns with NOAA short-range forecast models anticipating mild conditions under partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and sea breeze moderation typical for late April in South Florida, where climatological normals hover around 83°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare ASOS sensor recalibrations or discrepancies in the forthcoming daily climatological report, though consistent hourly readings spanning 75°F overnight to peak daytime values make revisions highly unlikely. Traders await final NWS summary for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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