Official observations from Milano Linate Airport station—the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm a maximum temperature of 24°C on April 19, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome amid a high-pressure ridge that delivered clear skies, light winds, and above-average warmth for mid-April (climatological high around 18°C). Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS had clustered probabilities around 21-24°C in the days prior, aligning with observed conditions of peaking heat in the early afternoon, as corroborated by nearby stations like Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo recording 22.4°C mid-day. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves negligible room for other outcomes, though a rare post hoc data revision from ARPA Lombardia audits could theoretically challenge it if an undocumented higher reading emerges. Final daily reports expected within 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on April 19?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 19?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$79,396 Vol.
$79,396 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$79,396 Vol.
$79,396 Vol.
Apr 19, 2026
17°C or below
$1,799 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,925 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,503 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,608 Vol.
No
21°C
$6,527 Vol.
No
22°C
$12,919 Vol.
No
23°C
$12,479 Vol.
No
24°C
$13,800 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$13,721 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,227 Vol.
No
27°C or higher
$4,888 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milano Linate Airport station—the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm a maximum temperature of 24°C on April 19, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome amid a high-pressure ridge that delivered clear skies, light winds, and above-average warmth for mid-April (climatological high around 18°C). Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS had clustered probabilities around 21-24°C in the days prior, aligning with observed conditions of peaking heat in the early afternoon, as corroborated by nearby stations like Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo recording 22.4°C mid-day. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves negligible room for other outcomes, though a rare post hoc data revision from ARPA Lombardia audits could theoretically challenge it if an undocumented higher reading emerges. Final daily reports expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volume
$79,396End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milano Linate Airport station—the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm a maximum temperature of 24°C on April 19, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome amid a high-pressure ridge that delivered clear skies, light winds, and above-average warmth for mid-April (climatological high around 18°C). Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS had clustered probabilities around 21-24°C in the days prior, aligning with observed conditions of peaking heat in the early afternoon, as corroborated by nearby stations like Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo recording 22.4°C mid-day. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves negligible room for other outcomes, though a rare post hoc data revision from ARPA Lombardia audits could theoretically challenge it if an undocumented higher reading emerges. Final daily reports expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$79,396End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 12:33 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Milano Linate Airport station—the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm a maximum temperature of 24°C on April 19, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome amid a high-pressure ridge that delivered clear skies, light winds, and above-average warmth for mid-April (climatological high around 18°C). Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS had clustered probabilities around 21-24°C in the days prior, aligning with observed conditions of peaking heat in the early afternoon, as corroborated by nearby stations like Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo recording 22.4°C mid-day. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves negligible room for other outcomes, though a rare post hoc data revision from ARPA Lombardia audits could theoretically challenge it if an undocumented higher reading emerges. Final daily reports expected within 48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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