Official observations from Milan meteorological stations, including data aggregated by ilMeteo.it and aligned with Milan Linate Airport readings, confirm the highest temperature on April 21, 2026, reached 19°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly winds capped daytime heating despite a warmer-than-average April anomaly of +2°C above historical norms, matching pre-event numerical weather prediction model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting peaks near 19°C. With the event passed and data finalized, realistic challenges are limited to rare official revisions by the resolving authority, such as the Italian Aeronautica Militare service.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on April 21?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 21?
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$61,400 Vol.
$61,400 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$61,400 Vol.
$61,400 Vol.
Apr 21, 2026
12°C or below
$1,723 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,188 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,582 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,654 Vol.
No
16°C
$3,684 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,562 Vol.
No
18°C
$11,768 Vol.
No
19°C
$10,392 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$10,434 Vol.
No
21°C
$6,503 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$7,912 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milan meteorological stations, including data aggregated by ilMeteo.it and aligned with Milan Linate Airport readings, confirm the highest temperature on April 21, 2026, reached 19°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly winds capped daytime heating despite a warmer-than-average April anomaly of +2°C above historical norms, matching pre-event numerical weather prediction model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting peaks near 19°C. With the event passed and data finalized, realistic challenges are limited to rare official revisions by the resolving authority, such as the Italian Aeronautica Militare service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$61,400End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milan meteorological stations, including data aggregated by ilMeteo.it and aligned with Milan Linate Airport readings, confirm the highest temperature on April 21, 2026, reached 19°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly winds capped daytime heating despite a warmer-than-average April anomaly of +2°C above historical norms, matching pre-event numerical weather prediction model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting peaks near 19°C. With the event passed and data finalized, realistic challenges are limited to rare official revisions by the resolving authority, such as the Italian Aeronautica Militare service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$61,400End Date
Apr 21, 2026Market Opened
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Milan meteorological stations, including data aggregated by ilMeteo.it and aligned with Milan Linate Airport readings, confirm the highest temperature on April 21, 2026, reached 19°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Partly cloudy skies and moderate easterly winds capped daytime heating despite a warmer-than-average April anomaly of +2°C above historical norms, matching pre-event numerical weather prediction model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting peaks near 19°C. With the event passed and data finalized, realistic challenges are limited to rare official revisions by the resolving authority, such as the Italian Aeronautica Militare service.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions