Official observational data from Milan Malpensa International Airport's weather station—the market's authoritative source—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 25°C on April 25, driving the 100% implied probability for this outcome among traders risking real capital. This peak, recorded amid clear skies under a stable North African high-pressure ridge ("Cammello"), aligned with forecast model consensus from ARPA Lombardia and national agencies predicting 24-26°C amid low wind and ample sunshine, exceeding April climatological averages of 18-19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibrations or data revisions from aviation synoptic reports, but standardized METAR protocols and preliminary validations render such shifts negligible. Market resolution awaits final hourly data release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on April 25?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 25?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$64,877 Vol.
$64,877 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$64,877 Vol.
$64,877 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
18°C or below
$738 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,315 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,396 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,067 Vol.
No
22°C
$5,852 Vol.
No
23°C
$10,884 Vol.
No
24°C
$9,610 Vol.
No
25°C
$10,552 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$7,604 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,789 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$5,069 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Milan Malpensa International Airport's weather station—the market's authoritative source—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 25°C on April 25, driving the 100% implied probability for this outcome among traders risking real capital. This peak, recorded amid clear skies under a stable North African high-pressure ridge ("Cammello"), aligned with forecast model consensus from ARPA Lombardia and national agencies predicting 24-26°C amid low wind and ample sunshine, exceeding April climatological averages of 18-19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibrations or data revisions from aviation synoptic reports, but standardized METAR protocols and preliminary validations render such shifts negligible. Market resolution awaits final hourly data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
Volume
$64,877End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 1:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from Milan Malpensa International Airport's weather station—the market's authoritative source—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 25°C on April 25, driving the 100% implied probability for this outcome among traders risking real capital. This peak, recorded amid clear skies under a stable North African high-pressure ridge ("Cammello"), aligned with forecast model consensus from ARPA Lombardia and national agencies predicting 24-26°C amid low wind and ample sunshine, exceeding April climatological averages of 18-19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibrations or data revisions from aviation synoptic reports, but standardized METAR protocols and preliminary validations render such shifts negligible. Market resolution awaits final hourly data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$64,877End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 1:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observational data from Milan Malpensa International Airport's weather station—the market's authoritative source—confirm a daily maximum temperature of 25°C on April 25, driving the 100% implied probability for this outcome among traders risking real capital. This peak, recorded amid clear skies under a stable North African high-pressure ridge ("Cammello"), aligned with forecast model consensus from ARPA Lombardia and national agencies predicting 24-26°C amid low wind and ample sunshine, exceeding April climatological averages of 18-19°C. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty include rare instrument recalibrations or data revisions from aviation synoptic reports, but standardized METAR protocols and preliminary validations render such shifts negligible. Market resolution awaits final hourly data release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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