Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm Milan's highest temperature reached exactly 22°C on May 4, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with early May climatological norms for Lombardy where average highs hover around 22°C. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and regional monitoring by ARPA Lombardia, drove trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for 22°C as final data finalized post-midnight. While robust, positioning could face rare challenges from post hoc data audits revealing sensor anomalies or overlooked peak readings, though such revisions occur in under 1% of cases historically. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Milan on May 4?
Highest temperature in Milan on May 4?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$137,337 Vol.
$137,337 Vol.
2026/05/04
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$137,337 Vol.
$137,337 Vol.
2026/05/04
16°C or below
$5,763 Vol.
No
17°C
$7,568 Vol.
No
18°C
$7,588 Vol.
No
19°C
$7,904 Vol.
No
20°C
$8,437 Vol.
No
21°C
$54,105 Vol.
No
22°C
$18,915 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$15,195 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,590 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,732 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$1,539 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm Milan's highest temperature reached exactly 22°C on May 4, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with early May climatological norms for Lombardy where average highs hover around 22°C. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and regional monitoring by ARPA Lombardia, drove trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for 22°C as final data finalized post-midnight. While robust, positioning could face rare challenges from post hoc data audits revealing sensor anomalies or overlooked peak readings, though such revisions occur in under 1% of cases historically. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
音量
$137,337終了日
2026/05/04マーケット開始日
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm Milan's highest temperature reached exactly 22°C on May 4, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with early May climatological norms for Lombardy where average highs hover around 22°C. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and regional monitoring by ARPA Lombardia, drove trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for 22°C as final data finalized post-midnight. While robust, positioning could face rare challenges from post hoc data audits revealing sensor anomalies or overlooked peak readings, though such revisions occur in under 1% of cases historically. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$137,337終了日
2026/05/04マーケット開始日
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Malpensa International Airport weather station—the authoritative source for this market—confirm Milan's highest temperature reached exactly 22°C on May 4, 2026, under overcast skies with light winds and no significant precipitation, aligning with early May climatological norms for Lombardy where average highs hover around 22°C. This measurement, derived from standard hourly METAR reports and regional monitoring by ARPA Lombardia, drove trader consensus to 100% market-implied probability for 22°C as final data finalized post-midnight. While robust, positioning could face rare challenges from post hoc data audits revealing sensor anomalies or overlooked peak readings, though such revisions occur in under 1% of cases historically. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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